YardThisWeek

Frost dates for ZIP 75071 (McKinney, TX)

Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Mckinney Municipal Airport, TX (4 miles away).

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLight blue: spring freeze risk (90% to 10%). Tan: fall freeze risk (10% to 90%). Dark lines: 50% dates.

Last spring frost odds

Chance of a 32°F freeze after this dateDate
90% (early: most years still freeze after this)Feb 27
50% (the "average" last frost)Mar 17
10% (safe-side: only 1 year in 10 freezes later)Apr 5

Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.

First fall frost odds

Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this dateDate
10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon)Oct 27
50% (the "average" first frost)Nov 15
90% (late: most years have frozen by now)Dec 5

Light frost, freeze and hard freeze

ThresholdLast spring (50%)First fall (50%)
36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights)Mar 31Nov 3
32°F (freeze)Mar 17Nov 15
28°F (hard freeze)Mar 4Nov 30

n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).

This week in McKinney

Soil temperature now

2-inch depth

67°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 70°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Lake Ralph Hall (42 mi), Hooten (53 mi), Berkley Ranch (57 mi).

4-inch depth

70°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 73°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Mustang Special (18 mi), Lake Ralph Hall (42 mi), Hooten (53 mi).

Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.

7-day forecast and frost risk

No frost in the 7-day forecast.

PeriodHighLowForecast
Tonight42°Clear
Sunday70°47°Sunny
Monday77°53°Sunny
Tuesday80°55°Sunny
Wednesday84°59°Sunny
Thursday86°61°Sunny
Friday87°64°Mostly Sunny

National Weather Service forecast, issued Oct 17, 8:28 PM CDT. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights. Full NWS forecast.

Where these numbers come from

Station: Mckinney Municipal Airport, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USC00415766), elevation 586 ft, 4.5 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: R (representative, 10+ years).

Nearby stations

StationDistanceLast frost (50%)First frost (50%)
Mckinney Muni AP, TX5 miMar 18Nov 11
Lavon Dam, TX17 miMar 10Nov 19
Richardson, TX18 miMar 7Nov 21

The average last-frost dates of these stations span 11 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.

Questions

When is the last frost in 75071?

The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 75071 is March 17. For a safer planting date, use April 5, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.

When is the first frost in 75071?

The average first fall freeze is November 15. In 1 year in 10 it comes by October 27.

What hardiness zone is 75071?

ZIP 75071 is in USDA zone 8b (15 to 20°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.

Other ZIP codes in Collin County

75002 75009 75013 75023 75024 75025 75034 75035 75069 75070 75072 75074 75075 75078 75082 75093 75094 75098 75164 75166 75173 75252 75287 75407 All Collin County ZIPs