YardThisWeek

Frost dates for ZIP 75159 (Seagoville, TX)

Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Ferris, TX (9 miles away).

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLight blue: spring freeze risk (90% to 10%). Tan: fall freeze risk (10% to 90%). Dark lines: 50% dates.

Last spring frost odds

Chance of a 32°F freeze after this dateDate
90% (early: most years still freeze after this)Feb 21
50% (the "average" last frost)Mar 12
10% (safe-side: only 1 year in 10 freezes later)Mar 31

Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.

First fall frost odds

Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this dateDate
10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon)Nov 2
50% (the "average" first frost)Nov 19
90% (late: most years have frozen by now)Dec 6

Light frost, freeze and hard freeze

ThresholdLast spring (50%)First fall (50%)
36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights)Mar 26Nov 8
32°F (freeze)Mar 12Nov 19
28°F (hard freeze)Mar 1Dec 1

n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).

This week in Seagoville

Soil temperature now

2-inch depth

69°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 73°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Henderson County North (41 mi), City of Alvarado (41 mi), Vaca Moo Airport (50 mi).

4-inch depth

71°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 74°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Henderson County North (41 mi), City of Alvarado (41 mi), Vaca Moo Airport (50 mi).

Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.

7-day forecast and frost risk

No frost in the 7-day forecast.

PeriodHighLowForecast
Tonight43°Mostly Clear
Sunday72°47°Sunny
Monday79°52°Sunny
Tuesday83°54°Sunny
Wednesday86°57°Sunny
Thursday89°60°Sunny
Friday89°62°Mostly Sunny

National Weather Service forecast, issued Oct 17, 8:28 PM CDT. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights. Full NWS forecast.

Where these numbers come from

Station: Ferris, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USC00413133), elevation 470 ft, 8.5 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: R (representative, 10+ years).

Nearby stations

StationDistanceLast frost (50%)First frost (50%)
Kaufman 3 SE, TX16 miMar 16Nov 14
Terrell Muni AP, TX18 miMar 11Nov 18
Dallas Redbird AP, TX20 miMar 6Nov 25

The average last-frost dates of these stations span 10 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.

Questions

When is the last frost in 75159?

The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 75159 is March 12. For a safer planting date, use March 31, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.

When is the first frost in 75159?

The average first fall freeze is November 19. In 1 year in 10 it comes by November 2.

What hardiness zone is 75159?

ZIP 75159 is in USDA zone 8b (15 to 20°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.

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