YardThisWeek

Frost dates for ZIP 75165 (Waxahachie, TX)

Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Waxahachie, TX (5 miles away).

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLight blue: spring freeze risk (90% to 10%). Tan: fall freeze risk (10% to 90%). Dark lines: 50% dates.

Last spring frost odds

Chance of a 32°F freeze after this dateDate
90% (early: most years still freeze after this)Feb 26
50% (the "average" last frost)Mar 16
10% (safe-side: only 1 year in 10 freezes later)Apr 3

Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.

First fall frost odds

Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this dateDate
10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon)Oct 31
50% (the "average" first frost)Nov 16
90% (late: most years have frozen by now)Dec 5

Light frost, freeze and hard freeze

ThresholdLast spring (50%)First fall (50%)
36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights)Mar 30Nov 7
32°F (freeze)Mar 16Nov 16
28°F (hard freeze)Mar 3Nov 29

n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).

This week in Waxahachie

Soil temperature now

2-inch depth

66°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 71°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of City of Alvarado (24 mi), Blum ISD Farm (38 mi), Aquilla Water Supply District (38 mi).

4-inch depth

69°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 72°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of City of Alvarado (24 mi), Blum ISD Farm (38 mi), Aquilla Water Supply District (38 mi).

Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.

7-day forecast and frost risk

No frost in the 7-day forecast.

PeriodHighLowForecast
Tonight43°Mostly Clear
Sunday70°47°Sunny
Monday77°53°Sunny
Tuesday81°55°Sunny
Wednesday85°59°Sunny
Thursday87°60°Sunny
Friday88°63°Mostly Sunny

National Weather Service forecast, issued Oct 17, 8:28 PM CDT. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights. Full NWS forecast.

Where these numbers come from

Station: Waxahachie, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USC00419522), elevation 626 ft, 4.5 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: R (representative, 10+ years).

Nearby stations

StationDistanceLast frost (50%)First frost (50%)
Bardwell Dam, TX12 miMar 8Nov 21
Ferris, TX14 miMar 12Nov 19
Joe Pool Lake, TX21 miMar 20Nov 13

The average last-frost dates of these stations span 12 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.

Questions

When is the last frost in 75165?

The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 75165 is March 16. For a safer planting date, use April 3, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.

When is the first frost in 75165?

The average first fall freeze is November 16. In 1 year in 10 it comes by October 31.

What hardiness zone is 75165?

ZIP 75165 is in USDA zone 8b (15 to 20°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.

Other ZIP codes in Ellis County

75101 75119 75125 75152 75154 75167 76041 76064 76065 76623 76651 76670 All Ellis County ZIPs