YardThisWeek

Frost dates for ZIP 75946 (Garrison, TX)

Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Nacogdoches, TX (16 miles away).

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLight blue: spring freeze risk (90% to 10%). Tan: fall freeze risk (10% to 90%). Dark lines: 50% dates.

Last spring frost odds

Chance of a 32°F freeze after this dateDate
90% (early: most years still freeze after this)Feb 21
50% (the "average" last frost)Mar 13
10% (safe-side: only 1 year in 10 freezes later)Apr 6

Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.

First fall frost odds

Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this dateDate
10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon)Nov 1
50% (the "average" first frost)Nov 17
90% (late: most years have frozen by now)Dec 5

Light frost, freeze and hard freeze

ThresholdLast spring (50%)First fall (50%)
36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights)Mar 30Nov 6
32°F (freeze)Mar 13Nov 17
28°F (hard freeze)Feb 28Dec 1

n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).

This week in Garrison

Soil temperature now

2-inch depth

74°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 76°F, as of Oct 17, 8:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Nacogdoches (26 mi), Lake Striker Rusk (28 mi), Green Hill (35 mi).

4-inch depth

75°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 75°F, as of Oct 17, 8:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Lake Murvaul Panola (16 mi), City of Carthage (24 mi), Nacogdoches (26 mi).

Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.

7-day forecast and frost risk

No frost in the 7-day forecast.

PeriodHighLowForecast
Tonight45°Mostly Clear
Sunday73°47°Sunny
Monday77°50°Sunny
Tuesday80°51°Sunny
Wednesday85°53°Sunny
Thursday87°54°Sunny
Friday87°56°Sunny

National Weather Service forecast, issued Oct 17, 8:29 PM CDT. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights. Full NWS forecast.

Where these numbers come from

Station: Nacogdoches, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USC00416177), elevation 435 ft, 15.6 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: S (standard, 24+ years).

Nearby stations

StationDistanceLast frost (50%)First frost (50%)
Center, TX21 miMar 13Nov 15
Carthage, TX26 miMar 8Nov 19
Henderson, TX30 miMar 15Nov 16

The average last-frost dates of these stations span 7 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.

Questions

When is the last frost in 75946?

The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 75946 is March 13. For a safer planting date, use April 6, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.

When is the first frost in 75946?

The average first fall freeze is November 17. In 1 year in 10 it comes by November 1.

What hardiness zone is 75946?

ZIP 75946 is in USDA zone 8b (15 to 20°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.

Other ZIP codes in Nacogdoches County

75760 75788 75937 75943 75944 75961 75962 75964 75965 All Nacogdoches County ZIPs