Frost dates for ZIP 76078 (New Fairview, TX)

Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Ft Worth Alliance AP, TX (12 miles away).

Average last spring frostMar 1250% chance of a 32°F freeze after this date
Average first fall frostNov 1750% chance of a 32°F freeze by this date
Growing season (frost-free)249 daysmedian, 32°F threshold
USDA hardiness zone8a10 to 15°F avg. coldest night

Last spring frost odds

Chance of a 32°F freeze after this date	Date
90% (early: most years still freeze after this)	Feb 21
50% (the "average" last frost)	Mar 12
10% (safe-side: only 1 year in 10 freezes later)	Apr 3

Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.

First fall frost odds

Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this date	Date
10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon)	Oct 31
50% (the "average" first frost)	Nov 17
90% (late: most years have frozen by now)	Dec 5

Light frost, freeze and hard freeze

Threshold	Last spring (50%)	First fall (50%)
36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights)	Mar 27	Nov 6
32°F (freeze)	Mar 12	Nov 17
28°F (hard freeze)	Feb 28	Dec 1

n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).

This week in New Fairview

Soil temperature now

2-inch depth

69°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 70°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT

Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Upper Trinity Groundwater Conservation District (17 mi), Berkley Ranch (26 mi), Prairie Hill Nocona (49 mi).

4-inch depth

71°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 72°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT

Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Upper Trinity Groundwater Conservation District (17 mi), Berkley Ranch (26 mi), Mustang Special (34 mi).

Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.

7-day forecast and frost risk

No frost in the 7-day forecast.

Period	High	Low	Forecast
Tonight		41°	Mostly Clear
Sunday	67°	46°	Sunny
Monday	75°	52°	Sunny
Tuesday	78°	55°	Sunny
Wednesday	82°	60°	Sunny
Thursday	84°	61°	Sunny
Friday	85°	64°	Mostly Sunny

National Weather Service forecast, issued Oct 17, 8:28 PM CDT. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights. Full NWS forecast.

Where these numbers come from

Station: Ft Worth Alliance AP, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USW00053909), elevation 685 ft, 11.7 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: R (representative, 10+ years).

Nearby stations

Station	Distance	Last frost (50%)	First frost (50%)
Decatur, TX	13 mi	Mar 20	Nov 11
Ft Worth Nature Ctr, TX	17 mi	Mar 13	Nov 20
Denton Muni AP, TX	17 mi	Mar 24	Nov 7

The average last-frost dates of these stations span 12 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.

Questions

When is the last frost in 76078?

The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 76078 is March 12. For a safer planting date, use April 3, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.

When is the first frost in 76078?

The average first fall freeze is November 17. In 1 year in 10 it comes by October 31.

What hardiness zone is 76078?

ZIP 76078 is in USDA zone 8a (10 to 15°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.

Other ZIP codes in Wise County

76023 76071 76073 76225 76234 76267 76426 76431 All Wise County ZIPs