YardThisWeek

Frost dates for ZIP 76463 (Mingus, TX)

Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Lake Palo Pinto, TX (14 miles away).

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLight blue: spring freeze risk (90% to 10%). Tan: fall freeze risk (10% to 90%). Dark lines: 50% dates.

Last spring frost odds

Chance of a 32°F freeze after this dateDate
90% (early: most years still freeze after this)Mar 5
50% (the "average" last frost)Mar 23
10% (safe-side: only 1 year in 10 freezes later)Apr 11

Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.

First fall frost odds

Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this dateDate
10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon)Oct 26
50% (the "average" first frost)Nov 10
90% (late: most years have frozen by now)Nov 25

Light frost, freeze and hard freeze

ThresholdLast spring (50%)First fall (50%)
36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights)Apr 4Nov 1
32°F (freeze)Mar 23Nov 10
28°F (hard freeze)Mar 9Nov 20

n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).

This week in Mingus

Soil temperature now

2-inch depth

62°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 64°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Measured at TexMesonet (TWDB) station Roger R. Fawcett WMA, 12 mi away. Daily averages: Thu 75°, Fri 64°.

4-inch depth

63°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 65°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Measured at TexMesonet (TWDB) station Roger R. Fawcett WMA, 12 mi away. Daily averages: Thu 75°, Fri 66°.

Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.

7-day forecast and frost risk

No frost in the 7-day forecast.

PeriodHighLowForecast
Tonight40°Mostly Clear
Sunday67°44°Sunny
Monday76°51°Sunny
Tuesday80°55°Sunny
Wednesday84°58°Sunny
Thursday85°60°Sunny
Friday85°62°Mostly Sunny

National Weather Service forecast, issued Oct 17, 8:28 PM CDT. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights. Full NWS forecast.

Where these numbers come from

Station: Lake Palo Pinto, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USC00414979), elevation 900 ft, 14.2 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: R (representative, 10+ years).

Nearby stations

StationDistanceLast frost (50%)First frost (50%)
Stephenville, TX19 miMar 29Nov 8
Eastland, TX24 miMar 30Nov 4
Dublin 2SE, TX28 miMar 16Nov 16

The average last-frost dates of these stations span 14 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.

Questions

When is the last frost in 76463?

The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 76463 is March 23. For a safer planting date, use April 11, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.

When is the first frost in 76463?

The average first fall freeze is November 10. In 1 year in 10 it comes by October 26.

What hardiness zone is 76463?

ZIP 76463 is in USDA zone 8a (10 to 15°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.

Other ZIP codes in Erath County

76401 76402 76433 76446 All Erath County ZIPs