YardThisWeek

Frost dates for ZIP 76569 (Rogers, TX)

Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Cameron, TX (16 miles away).

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLight blue: spring freeze risk (90% to 10%). Tan: fall freeze risk (10% to 90%). Dark lines: 50% dates.

Last spring frost odds

Chance of a 32°F freeze after this dateDate
90% (early: most years still freeze after this)Feb 7
50% (the "average" last frost)Mar 6
10% (safe-side: only 1 year in 10 freezes later)Mar 27

Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.

First fall frost odds

Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this dateDate
10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon)Nov 3
50% (the "average" first frost)Nov 23
90% (late: most years have frozen by now)Dec 20

Light frost, freeze and hard freeze

ThresholdLast spring (50%)First fall (50%)
36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights)Mar 18Nov 11
32°F (freeze)Mar 6Nov 23
28°F (hard freeze)Feb 23Dec 6

n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).

This week in Rogers

Soil temperature now

2-inch depth

71°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 73°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Measured at TexMesonet (TWDB) station City of Rogers, 1 mi away. Daily averages: Thu 80°, Fri 75°.

4-inch depth

73°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 74°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Measured at TexMesonet (TWDB) station City of Rogers, 1 mi away. Daily averages: Thu 80°, Fri 77°.

Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.

7-day forecast and frost risk

No frost in the 7-day forecast.

PeriodHighLowForecast
Tonight43°Mostly Clear
Sunday72°47°Sunny
Monday79°53°Mostly Sunny
Tuesday83°55°Sunny
Wednesday87°57°Sunny
Thursday89°58°Sunny
Friday89°61°Sunny

National Weather Service forecast, issued Oct 17, 8:28 PM CDT. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights. Full NWS forecast.

Where these numbers come from

Station: Cameron, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USC00411348), elevation 364 ft, 16.0 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: R (representative, 10+ years).

Nearby stations

StationDistanceLast frost (50%)First frost (50%)
Granger Dam, TX16 miMar 5Nov 22
Stillhouse Hollow Dam, TX20 miMar 14Nov 20
Taylor 1NW, TX27 miMar 8Nov 21

The average last-frost dates of these stations span 9 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.

Questions

When is the last frost in 76569?

The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 76569 is March 6. For a safer planting date, use March 27, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.

When is the first frost in 76569?

The average first fall freeze is November 23. In 1 year in 10 it comes by November 3.

What hardiness zone is 76569?

ZIP 76569 is in USDA zone 9a (20 to 25°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.

Other ZIP codes in Bell County

76501 76502 76504 76511 76513 76534 76541 76542 76543 76548 76549 76554 76557 76559 76571 76579 All Bell County ZIPs