Frost dates for ZIP 76570 (Rosebud, TX)
Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Marlin, TX (16 miles away).
- Average last spring frostMar 2150% chance of a 32°F freeze after this date
- Average first fall frostNov 950% chance of a 32°F freeze by this date
- Growing season (frost-free)234 daysmedian, 32°F threshold
- USDA hardiness zone9a20 to 25°F avg. coldest night
Last spring frost odds
| Chance of a 32°F freeze after this date | Date |
|---|---|
| 90% (early: most years still freeze after this) | Feb 27 |
| 50% (the "average" last frost) | Mar 21 |
| 10% (safe-side: only 1 year in 10 freezes later) | Apr 10 |
Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.
First fall frost odds
| Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this date | Date |
|---|---|
| 10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon) | Oct 29 |
| 50% (the "average" first frost) | Nov 9 |
| 90% (late: most years have frozen by now) | Nov 26 |
Light frost, freeze and hard freeze
| Threshold | Last spring (50%) | First fall (50%) |
|---|---|---|
| 36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights) | Apr 3 | Nov 2 |
| 32°F (freeze) | Mar 21 | Nov 9 |
| 28°F (hard freeze) | Mar 8 | Nov 18 |
n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).
This week in Rosebud
Soil temperature now
2-inch depth
72°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 73°F, as of Oct 17, 8:00 PM CDT
Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of City of Rogers (20 mi), City of Troy (22 mi), Riesel (28 mi).
4-inch depth
73°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 74°F, as of Oct 17, 8:00 PM CDT
Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of City of Rogers (20 mi), City of Troy (22 mi), Riesel (28 mi).
Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.
7-day forecast and frost risk
No frost in the 7-day forecast.
| Period | High | Low | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tonight | 43° | Mostly Clear | |
| Sunday | 73° | 47° | Sunny |
| Monday | 79° | 53° | Mostly Sunny |
| Tuesday | 85° | 55° | Sunny |
| Wednesday | 88° | 56° | Sunny |
| Thursday | 90° | 58° | Sunny |
| Friday | 90° | 61° | Sunny |
National Weather Service forecast, issued Oct 17, 8:28 PM CDT. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights. Full NWS forecast.
Free frost alerts for 76570
An email when the National Weather Service forecasts a freeze for this ZIP, plus the spring soil-temperature heads-up. At most a few a month.
Alerts open soon. This form is a preview and doesn't send anything yet.
Where these numbers come from
Station: Marlin, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USC00415611), elevation 407 ft, 16.0 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: R (representative, 10+ years).
Nearby stations
| Station | Distance | Last frost (50%) | First frost (50%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron, TX | 16 mi | Mar 6 | Nov 23 |
| Franklin, TX | 28 mi | Feb 28 | Nov 28 |
| Granger Dam, TX | 33 mi | Mar 5 | Nov 22 |
The average last-frost dates of these stations span 24 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.
Questions
When is the last frost in 76570?
The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 76570 is March 21. For a safer planting date, use April 10, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.
When is the first frost in 76570?
The average first fall freeze is November 9. In 1 year in 10 it comes by October 29.
What hardiness zone is 76570?
ZIP 76570 is in USDA zone 9a (20 to 25°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.
Other ZIP codes in Falls County
76524 76632 76656 76661 76680 76682 76685 All Falls County ZIPs