YardThisWeek

Frost dates for ZIP 76821 (Ballinger, TX)

Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Ballinger 2 NW, TX (2 miles away).

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLight blue: spring freeze risk (90% to 10%). Tan: fall freeze risk (10% to 90%). Dark lines: 50% dates.

Last spring frost odds

Chance of a 32°F freeze after this dateDate
90% (early: most years still freeze after this)Mar 2
50% (the "average" last frost)Mar 22
10% (safe-side: only 1 year in 10 freezes later)Apr 12

Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.

First fall frost odds

Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this dateDate
10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon)Oct 28
50% (the "average" first frost)Nov 10
90% (late: most years have frozen by now)Nov 28

Light frost, freeze and hard freeze

ThresholdLast spring (50%)First fall (50%)
36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights)Apr 4Nov 1
32°F (freeze)Mar 22Nov 10
28°F (hard freeze)Mar 8Nov 22

n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).

This week in Ballinger

Soil temperature now

2-inch depth

63°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 68°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Measured at TexMesonet (TWDB) station Winton Milliff Runnells, 6 mi away. Daily averages: Thu 81°, Fri 68°.

4-inch depth

65°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 69°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Measured at TexMesonet (TWDB) station Winton Milliff Runnells, 6 mi away. Daily averages: Thu 81°, Fri 70°.

Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.

7-day forecast and frost risk

No frost in the 7-day forecast.

PeriodHighLowForecast
Tonight37°Mostly Clear
Sunday68°44°Sunny
Monday78°50°Sunny
Tuesday83°55°Mostly Sunny
Wednesday85°58°Sunny
Thursday87°59°Mostly Sunny
Friday88°61°Mostly Sunny

National Weather Service forecast, issued Oct 17, 8:29 PM CDT. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights. Full NWS forecast.

Where these numbers come from

Station: Ballinger 2 NW, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USC00410493), elevation 1,755 ft, 1.6 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: S (standard, 24+ years).

Nearby stations

StationDistanceLast frost (50%)First frost (50%)
Paint Rock, TX16 miMar 30Nov 5
Concho Park/ivie Rsvr, TX19 miMar 18Nov 12
Wingate, TX23 miApr 3Nov 4

The average last-frost dates of these stations span 16 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.

Questions

When is the last frost in 76821?

The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 76821 is March 22. For a safer planting date, use April 12, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.

When is the first frost in 76821?

The average first fall freeze is November 10. In 1 year in 10 it comes by October 28.

What hardiness zone is 76821?

ZIP 76821 is in USDA zone 8a (10 to 15°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.

Other ZIP codes in Runnels County

76865 76875 76882 79567 All Runnels County ZIPs