YardThisWeek

Frost dates for ZIP 77369 (Big Thicket Lake Estates, TX)

Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Wildwood, TX (19 miles away).

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLight blue: spring freeze risk (90% to 10%). Tan: fall freeze risk (10% to 90%). Dark lines: 50% dates.

Last spring frost odds

Chance of a 32°F freeze after this dateDate
90% (early: most years still freeze after this)Feb 9
50% (the "average" last frost)Mar 6
10% (safe-side: only 1 year in 10 freezes later)Mar 31

Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.

First fall frost odds

Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this dateDate
10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon)Nov 3
50% (the "average" first frost)Nov 21
90% (late: most years have frozen by now)Dec 10

Light frost, freeze and hard freeze

ThresholdLast spring (50%)First fall (50%)
36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights)Mar 23Nov 10
32°F (freeze)Mar 6Nov 21
28°F (hard freeze)Feb 16Dec 5

n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).

This week in Big Thicket Lake Estates

Soil temperature now

2-inch depth

71°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 71°F, as of Oct 17, 8:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Beaumont (36 mi), Landram Ranch (44 mi).

4-inch depth

73°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 73°F, as of Oct 17, 8:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Beaumont (36 mi), Landram Ranch (44 mi).

Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.

7-day forecast and frost risk

No frost in the 7-day forecast.

PeriodHighLowForecast
Tonight49°Mostly Clear
Sunday73°50°Sunny
Monday77°53°Sunny
Tuesday81°54°Sunny
Wednesday85°54°Sunny
Thursday87°55°Sunny
Friday88°57°Sunny

National Weather Service forecast, issued Oct 17, 8:29 PM CDT. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights. Full NWS forecast.

Where these numbers come from

Station: Wildwood, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USC00419754), elevation 200 ft, 19.0 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: R (representative, 10+ years).

Nearby stations

StationDistanceLast frost (50%)First frost (50%)
Cleveland, TX21 miMar 7Nov 20
Livingston 2 NNE, TX25 miMar 1Nov 24
Liberty, TX25 miFeb 21Dec 1

The average last-frost dates of these stations span 17 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.

Questions

When is the last frost in 77369?

The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 77369 is March 6. For a safer planting date, use March 31, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.

When is the first frost in 77369?

The average first fall freeze is November 21. In 1 year in 10 it comes by November 3.

What hardiness zone is 77369?

ZIP 77369 is in USDA zone 9a (20 to 25°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.

Other ZIP codes in Liberty County

77327 77368 77533 77535 77538 77561 77564 77575 77582 All Liberty County ZIPs