YardThisWeek

Frost dates for ZIP 77440 (Matagorda County, TX)

Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Bay City Wtr Wks, TX (12 miles away).

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLight blue: spring freeze risk (90% to 10%). Tan: fall freeze risk (10% to 90%). Dark lines: 50% dates.

Last spring frost odds

Chance of a 32°F freeze after this dateDate
90% (early: most years still freeze after this)Jan 19
50% (the "average" last frost)Feb 20
10% (safe-side: only 1 year in 10 freezes later)Mar 15

Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.

First fall frost odds

Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this dateDate
10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon)Nov 10
50% (the "average" first frost)Dec 3
90% (late: most years have frozen by now)Jan 1 (next year)

Light frost, freeze and hard freeze

ThresholdLast spring (50%)First fall (50%)
36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights)Mar 7Nov 20
32°F (freeze)Feb 20Dec 3
28°F (hard freeze)Jan 31Dec 22

n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).

This week in 77440

Soil temperature now

2-inch depth

75°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 77°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Wied Ranch (42 mi), Bobadoo Ranch (49 mi), STXRR Camp Williams (54 mi).

4-inch depth

76°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 78°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Wied Ranch (42 mi), Bobadoo Ranch (49 mi), STXRR Camp Williams (54 mi).

Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.

7-day forecast and frost risk

No frost in the 7-day forecast.

PeriodHighLowForecast
Tonight52°Partly Cloudy
Sunday76°56°Sunny
Monday81°60°Mostly Sunny
Tuesday84°61°Mostly Sunny
Wednesday87°60°Sunny
Thursday88°61°Sunny
Friday88°64°Sunny

National Weather Service forecast, issued Oct 17, 8:28 PM CDT. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights. Full NWS forecast.

Where these numbers come from

Station: Bay City Wtr Wks, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USC00410569), elevation 52 ft, 12.0 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: R (representative, 10+ years).

Nearby stations

StationDistanceLast frost (50%)First frost (50%)
Danevang 1 W, TX13 miFeb 15Dec 8
Palacios Muni AP, TX13 miFeb 1Dec 17
Matagorda No 2, TX18 miFeb 5Dec 16

The average last-frost dates of these stations span 19 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.

Questions

When is the last frost in 77440?

The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 77440 is February 20. For a safer planting date, use March 15, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.

When is the first frost in 77440?

The average first fall freeze is December 3. In 1 year in 10 it comes by November 10.

What hardiness zone is 77440?

ZIP 77440 is in USDA zone 9b (25 to 30°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.

Other ZIP codes in Matagorda County

77414 77415 77419 77428 77456 77457 77458 77465 77468 77482 77483 All Matagorda County ZIPs