YardThisWeek

Frost dates for ZIP 77488 (Wharton, TX)

Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, El Campo, TX (12 miles away).

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLight blue: spring freeze risk (90% to 10%). Tan: fall freeze risk (10% to 90%). Dark lines: 50% dates.

Last spring frost odds

Chance of a 32°F freeze after this dateDate
90% (early: most years still freeze after this)Jan 22
50% (the "average" last frost)Feb 23
10% (safe-side: only 1 year in 10 freezes later)Mar 16

Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.

First fall frost odds

Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this dateDate
10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon)Nov 15
50% (the "average" first frost)Dec 5
90% (late: most years have frozen by now)Jan 4 (next year)

Light frost, freeze and hard freeze

ThresholdLast spring (50%)First fall (50%)
36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights)Mar 7Nov 25
32°F (freeze)Feb 23Dec 5
28°F (hard freeze)Feb 2Dec 25

n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).

This week in Wharton

Soil temperature now

2-inch depth

75°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 76°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Wied Ranch (23 mi), Bobadoo Ranch (36 mi), Wegenhoft (42 mi).

4-inch depth

76°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 77°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Wied Ranch (23 mi), Bobadoo Ranch (36 mi), Wegenhoft (42 mi).

Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.

7-day forecast and frost risk

No frost in the 7-day forecast.

PeriodHighLowForecast
Tonight50°Partly Cloudy
Sunday76°54°Sunny
Monday81°58°Mostly Sunny
Tuesday85°60°Mostly Sunny
Wednesday88°57°Sunny
Thursday89°59°Sunny
Friday90°62°Sunny

National Weather Service forecast, issued Oct 17, 8:28 PM CDT. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights. Full NWS forecast.

Where these numbers come from

Station: El Campo, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USC00412786), elevation 110 ft, 12.2 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: R (representative, 10+ years).

Nearby stations

StationDistanceLast frost (50%)First frost (50%)
Danevang 1 W, TX18 miFeb 15Dec 8
Bay City Wtr Wks, TX23 miFeb 20Dec 3
Eagle Lake Resch Ctr, TX28 miFeb 21Dec 1

The average last-frost dates of these stations span 8 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.

Questions

When is the last frost in 77488?

The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 77488 is February 23. For a safer planting date, use March 16, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.

When is the first frost in 77488?

The average first fall freeze is December 5. In 1 year in 10 it comes by November 15.

What hardiness zone is 77488?

ZIP 77488 is in USDA zone 9b (25 to 30°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.

Other ZIP codes in Wharton County

77420 77432 77435 77436 77437 77443 77448 77453 77454 77455 77467 All Wharton County ZIPs