Frost dates for ZIP 77879 (Clay, TX)
Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Somerville Dam, TX (7 miles away).
- Average last spring frostMar 1850% chance of a 32°F freeze after this date
- Average first fall frostNov 950% chance of a 32°F freeze by this date
- Growing season (frost-free)238 daysmedian, 32°F threshold
- USDA hardiness zone9a20 to 25°F avg. coldest night
Last spring frost odds
| Chance of a 32°F freeze after this date | Date |
|---|---|
| 90% (early: most years still freeze after this) | Feb 25 |
| 50% (the "average" last frost) | Mar 18 |
| 10% (safe-side: only 1 year in 10 freezes later) | Apr 6 |
Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.
First fall frost odds
| Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this date | Date |
|---|---|
| 10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon) | Oct 26 |
| 50% (the "average" first frost) | Nov 9 |
| 90% (late: most years have frozen by now) | Nov 30 |
Light frost, freeze and hard freeze
| Threshold | Last spring (50%) | First fall (50%) |
|---|---|---|
| 36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights) | Apr 1 | Nov 1 |
| 32°F (freeze) | Mar 18 | Nov 9 |
| 28°F (hard freeze) | Mar 5 | Nov 23 |
n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).
This week in Clay
Soil temperature now
2-inch depth
74°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 78°F, as of Oct 17, 8:00 PM CDT
Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Goetsch Ranch (21 mi), Prairie View #1 (37 mi), Wegenhoft (54 mi).
4-inch depth
75°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 78°F, as of Oct 17, 8:00 PM CDT
Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Goetsch Ranch (21 mi), Prairie View #1 (37 mi), Wegenhoft (54 mi).
Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.
7-day forecast and frost risk
No frost in the 7-day forecast.
| Period | High | Low | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tonight | 46° | Mostly Clear | |
| Sunday | 72° | 48° | Sunny |
| Monday | 77° | 52° | Mostly Sunny |
| Tuesday | 81° | 55° | Sunny |
| Wednesday | 85° | 56° | Sunny |
| Thursday | 88° | 57° | Sunny |
| Friday | 88° | 60° | Sunny |
National Weather Service forecast, issued Oct 17, 8:36 PM CDT. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights. Full NWS forecast.
Free frost alerts for 77879
An email when the National Weather Service forecasts a freeze for this ZIP, plus the spring soil-temperature heads-up. At most a few a month.
Alerts open soon. This form is a preview and doesn't send anything yet.
Where these numbers come from
Station: Somerville Dam, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USC00418446), elevation 263 ft, 7.1 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: R (representative, 10+ years).
Nearby stations
| Station | Distance | Last frost (50%) | First frost (50%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| College STN, TX | 13 mi | Feb 27 | Nov 30 |
| Brenham, TX | 18 mi | Mar 2 | Nov 30 |
| Washington Sp, TX | 19 mi | Mar 7 | Nov 19 |
The average last-frost dates of these stations span 22 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.
Questions
When is the last frost in 77879?
The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 77879 is March 18. For a safer planting date, use April 6, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.
When is the first frost in 77879?
The average first fall freeze is November 9. In 1 year in 10 it comes by October 26.
What hardiness zone is 77879?
ZIP 77879 is in USDA zone 9a (20 to 25°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.