Frost dates for ZIP 77976 (Victoria County, TX)
Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Victoria Fire Dept #5, TX (9 miles away).
- Average last spring frostFeb 1450% chance of a 32°F freeze after this date
- Average first fall frostDec 950% chance of a 32°F freeze by this date
- Growing season (frost-free)299 daysmedian, 32°F threshold
- USDA hardiness zone9a20 to 25°F avg. coldest night
Last spring frost odds
| Chance of a 32°F freeze after this date | Date |
|---|---|
| 90% (early: most years still freeze after this) | Jan 17 |
| 50% (the "average" last frost) | Feb 14 |
| 10% (safe-side: only 1 year in 10 freezes later) | Mar 13 |
Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.
First fall frost odds
| Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this date | Date |
|---|---|
| 10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon) | Nov 17 |
| 50% (the "average" first frost) | Dec 9 |
| 90% (late: most years have frozen by now) | Jan 8 (next year) |
Light frost, freeze and hard freeze
| Threshold | Last spring (50%) | First fall (50%) |
|---|---|---|
| 36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights) | Mar 3 | Nov 27 |
| 32°F (freeze) | Feb 14 | Dec 9 |
| 28°F (hard freeze) | Jan 28 | Dec 31 |
n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).
This week in 77976
Soil temperature now
2-inch depth
75°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 76°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT
Measured at TexMesonet (TWDB) station Dentler, 6 mi away. Daily averages: Thu 83°, Fri 79°.
4-inch depth
76°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 78°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT
Measured at TexMesonet (TWDB) station Dentler, 6 mi away. Daily averages: Thu 83°, Fri 80°.
Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.
7-day forecast and frost risk
No frost in the 7-day forecast.
| Period | High | Low | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tonight | 50° | Partly Cloudy | |
| Sunday | 77° | 54° | Sunny |
| Monday | 82° | 58° | Mostly Sunny |
| Tuesday | 86° | 61° | Sunny |
| Wednesday | 89° | 59° | Sunny |
| Thursday | 90° | 60° | Sunny |
| Friday | 90° | 64° | Sunny |
National Weather Service forecast, issued Oct 17, 8:28 PM CDT. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights. Full NWS forecast.
Free frost alerts for 77976
An email when the National Weather Service forecasts a freeze for this ZIP, plus the spring soil-temperature heads-up. At most a few a month.
Alerts open soon. This form is a preview and doesn't send anything yet.
Where these numbers come from
Station: Victoria Fire Dept #5, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USC00419361), elevation 101 ft, 8.9 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: R (representative, 10+ years).
Nearby stations
| Station | Distance | Last frost (50%) | First frost (50%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Rgnl AP, TX | 13 mi | Feb 18 | Dec 4 |
| Victoria Rgnl AP, TX | 14 mi | Feb 4 | Dec 9 |
| Coleto Creek Rsvr, TX | 16 mi | Feb 17 | Dec 8 |
The average last-frost dates of these stations span 14 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.
Questions
When is the last frost in 77976?
The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 77976 is February 14. For a safer planting date, use March 13, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.
When is the first frost in 77976?
The average first fall freeze is December 9. In 1 year in 10 it comes by November 17.
What hardiness zone is 77976?
ZIP 77976 is in USDA zone 9a (20 to 25°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.
Other ZIP codes in Victoria County
77901 77904 77905 77951 77968 77973 77977 77988 All Victoria County ZIPs