Frost dates for ZIP 78145 (Pawnee, TX)
Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Karnes City 2N, TX (19 miles away).
- Average last spring frostFeb 1650% chance of a 32°F freeze after this date
- Average first fall frostDec 950% chance of a 32°F freeze by this date
- Growing season (frost-free)300 daysmedian, 32°F threshold
- USDA hardiness zone9a20 to 25°F avg. coldest night
Last spring frost odds
| Chance of a 32°F freeze after this date | Date |
|---|---|
| 90% (early: most years still freeze after this) | Jan 13 |
| 50% (the "average" last frost) | Feb 16 |
| 10% (safe-side: only 1 year in 10 freezes later) | Mar 13 |
Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.
First fall frost odds
| Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this date | Date |
|---|---|
| 10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon) | Nov 20 |
| 50% (the "average" first frost) | Dec 9 |
| 90% (late: most years have frozen by now) | Jan 10 (next year) |
Light frost, freeze and hard freeze
| Threshold | Last spring (50%) | First fall (50%) |
|---|---|---|
| 36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights) | Mar 4 | Nov 27 |
| 32°F (freeze) | Feb 16 | Dec 9 |
| 28°F (hard freeze) | Jan 28 | Dec 27 |
n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).
This week in Pawnee
Soil temperature now
2-inch depth
76°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 80°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT
Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of BQ5 Ranch (20 mi), Three Oaks (24 mi), KV Ranch (32 mi).
4-inch depth
78°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 80°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT
Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of BQ5 Ranch (20 mi), Three Oaks (24 mi), KV Ranch (32 mi).
Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.
7-day forecast and frost risk
No frost in the 7-day forecast.
| Period | High | Low | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tonight | 46° | Mostly Clear | |
| Sunday | 75° | 55° | Sunny |
| Monday | 80° | 60° | Partly Sunny |
| Tuesday | 85° | 62° | Sunny |
| Wednesday | 88° | 61° | Sunny |
| Thursday | 89° | 62° | Sunny |
| Friday | 90° | 65° | Sunny |
National Weather Service forecast, issued Oct 17, 8:28 PM CDT. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights. Full NWS forecast.
Free frost alerts for 78145
An email when the National Weather Service forecasts a freeze for this ZIP, plus the spring soil-temperature heads-up. At most a few a month.
Alerts open soon. This form is a preview and doesn't send anything yet.
Where these numbers come from
Station: Karnes City 2N, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USC00414696), elevation 450 ft, 19.4 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: R (representative, 10+ years).
Nearby stations
| Station | Distance | Last frost (50%) | First frost (50%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Choke Canyon Dam, TX | 20 mi | Feb 8 | Dec 6 |
| Beeville 5 NE, TX | 22 mi | Feb 17 | Dec 8 |
| Calliham, TX | 25 mi | Feb 9 | Dec 8 |
The average last-frost dates of these stations span 9 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.
Questions
When is the last frost in 78145?
The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 78145 is February 16. For a safer planting date, use March 13, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.
When is the first frost in 78145?
The average first fall freeze is December 9. In 1 year in 10 it comes by November 20.
What hardiness zone is 78145?
ZIP 78145 is in USDA zone 9a (20 to 25°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.
Other ZIP codes in Bee County
78102 78104 78125 78142 78146 78162 78389 78391 All Bee County ZIPs