Frost dates for ZIP 78644 (Lockhart, TX)
Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Luling, TX (14 miles away).
- Average last spring frostMar 550% chance of a 32°F freeze after this date
- Average first fall frostNov 2350% chance of a 32°F freeze by this date
- Growing season (frost-free)263 daysmedian, 32°F threshold
- USDA hardiness zone9a20 to 25°F avg. coldest night
Last spring frost odds
| Chance of a 32°F freeze after this date | Date |
|---|---|
| 90% (early: most years still freeze after this) | Feb 7 |
| 50% (the "average" last frost) | Mar 5 |
| 10% (safe-side: only 1 year in 10 freezes later) | Apr 3 |
Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.
First fall frost odds
| Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this date | Date |
|---|---|
| 10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon) | Nov 3 |
| 50% (the "average" first frost) | Nov 23 |
| 90% (late: most years have frozen by now) | Dec 14 |
Light frost, freeze and hard freeze
| Threshold | Last spring (50%) | First fall (50%) |
|---|---|---|
| 36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights) | Mar 22 | Nov 10 |
| 32°F (freeze) | Mar 5 | Nov 23 |
| 28°F (hard freeze) | Feb 17 | Dec 6 |
n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).
This week in Lockhart
Soil temperature now
2-inch depth
75°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 78°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT
Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Baker Ranch (18 mi), Pecan Grove Farms (24 mi), Grones Ranch (27 mi).
4-inch depth
76°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 78°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT
Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Baker Ranch (18 mi), Pecan Grove Farms (24 mi), Grones Ranch (27 mi).
Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.
7-day forecast and frost risk
No frost in the 7-day forecast.
| Period | High | Low | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tonight | 45° | Mostly Clear | |
| Sunday | 74° | 49° | Sunny |
| Monday | 78° | 55° | Mostly Sunny |
| Tuesday | 84° | 57° | Sunny |
| Wednesday | 87° | 57° | Sunny |
| Thursday | 89° | 58° | Sunny |
| Friday | 89° | 60° | Sunny |
National Weather Service forecast, issued Oct 17, 8:28 PM CDT. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights. Full NWS forecast.
Free frost alerts for 78644
An email when the National Weather Service forecasts a freeze for this ZIP, plus the spring soil-temperature heads-up. At most a few a month.
Alerts open soon. This form is a preview and doesn't send anything yet.
Where these numbers come from
Station: Luling, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USC00415429), elevation 400 ft, 13.7 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: S (standard, 24+ years).
Nearby stations
| Station | Distance | Last frost (50%) | First frost (50%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cedar Creek 5 S, TX | 15 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 19 |
| San Marcos, TX | 16 mi | Feb 28 | Nov 29 |
| Austin Bergstrom AP, TX | 21 mi | Mar 12 | Nov 16 |
The average last-frost dates of these stations span 17 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.
Questions
When is the last frost in 78644?
The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 78644 is March 5. For a safer planting date, use April 3, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.
When is the first frost in 78644?
The average first fall freeze is November 23. In 1 year in 10 it comes by November 3.
What hardiness zone is 78644?
ZIP 78644 is in USDA zone 9a (20 to 25°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.
Other ZIP codes in Caldwell County
78616 78622 78648 78655 78656 78661 All Caldwell County ZIPs