Frost dates for ZIP 78827 (Asherton, TX)
Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Carrizo Springs 3S, TX (10 miles away).
- Average last spring frostMar 550% chance of a 32°F freeze after this date
- Average first fall frostNov 2250% chance of a 32°F freeze by this date
- Growing season (frost-free)265 daysmedian, 32°F threshold
- USDA hardiness zone9a20 to 25°F avg. coldest night
Last spring frost odds
| Chance of a 32°F freeze after this date | Date |
|---|---|
| 90% (early: most years still freeze after this) | Feb 10 |
| 50% (the "average" last frost) | Mar 5 |
| 10% (safe-side: only 1 year in 10 freezes later) | Mar 30 |
Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.
First fall frost odds
| Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this date | Date |
|---|---|
| 10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon) | Nov 6 |
| 50% (the "average" first frost) | Nov 22 |
| 90% (late: most years have frozen by now) | Dec 11 |
Light frost, freeze and hard freeze
| Threshold | Last spring (50%) | First fall (50%) |
|---|---|---|
| 36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights) | Mar 18 | Nov 12 |
| 32°F (freeze) | Mar 5 | Nov 22 |
| 28°F (hard freeze) | Feb 20 | Dec 5 |
n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).
This week in Asherton
Soil temperature now
2-inch depth
77°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 82°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT
Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Chaparral WMA (21 mi), Crystal City Weather Station (24 mi), Cinco Ranch (40 mi).
4-inch depth
79°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 82°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT
Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Chaparral WMA (21 mi), Crystal City Weather Station (24 mi), Cinco Ranch (40 mi).
Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.
7-day forecast and frost risk
No frost in the 7-day forecast.
| Period | High | Low | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tonight | 48° | Partly Cloudy | |
| Sunday | 75° | 54° | Partly Sunny |
| Monday | 83° | 61° | Mostly Sunny |
| Tuesday | 89° | 63° | Mostly Sunny |
| Wednesday | 91° | 64° | Mostly Sunny |
| Thursday | 91° | 64° | Sunny |
| Friday | 92° | 67° | Sunny |
National Weather Service forecast, issued Oct 17, 8:28 PM CDT. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights. Full NWS forecast.
Free frost alerts for 78827
An email when the National Weather Service forecasts a freeze for this ZIP, plus the spring soil-temperature heads-up. At most a few a month.
Alerts open soon. This form is a preview and doesn't send anything yet.
Where these numbers come from
Station: Carrizo Springs 3S, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USC00411486), elevation 613 ft, 9.9 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: S (standard, 24+ years).
Nearby stations
| Station | Distance | Last frost (50%) | First frost (50%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal City, TX | 18 mi | Feb 10 | Dec 10 |
| Cotulla La Salle Co AP, TX | 31 mi | Feb 11 | Dec 3 |
| Dilley, TX | 37 mi | Feb 16 | Dec 6 |
The average last-frost dates of these stations span 26 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.
Questions
When is the last frost in 78827?
The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 78827 is March 5. For a safer planting date, use March 30, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.
When is the first frost in 78827?
The average first fall freeze is November 22. In 1 year in 10 it comes by November 6.
What hardiness zone is 78827?
ZIP 78827 is in USDA zone 9a (20 to 25°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.