YardThisWeek

Frost dates for ZIP 79404 (Lubbock, TX)

Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Lubbock, TX (9 miles away).

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLight blue: spring freeze risk (90% to 10%). Tan: fall freeze risk (10% to 90%). Dark lines: 50% dates.

Last spring frost odds

Chance of a 32°F freeze after this dateDate
90% (early: most years still freeze after this)Mar 17
50% (the "average" last frost)Apr 4
10% (safe-side: only 1 year in 10 freezes later)Apr 22

Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.

First fall frost odds

Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this dateDate
10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon)Oct 19
50% (the "average" first frost)Nov 2
90% (late: most years have frozen by now)Nov 14

Light frost, freeze and hard freeze

ThresholdLast spring (50%)First fall (50%)
36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights)Apr 15Oct 24
32°F (freeze)Apr 4Nov 2
28°F (hard freeze)Mar 22Nov 11

n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).

This week in Lubbock

Soil temperature now

2-inch depth

57°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 64°F, as of Oct 17, 8:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Measured at USDA NRCS SCAN station Reese Center, 15 mi away. Daily averages: Thu 68°, Fri 59°.

4-inch depth

56°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 63°F, as of Oct 17, 8:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Measured at USDA NRCS SCAN station Reese Center, 15 mi away. Daily averages: Thu 67°, Fri 57°.

Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.

7-day forecast and frost risk

No frost in the 7-day forecast.

PeriodHighLowForecast
Tonight37°Mostly Clear
Sunday64°44°Sunny
Monday72°52°Sunny
Tuesday75°56°Mostly Sunny
Wednesday78°59°Mostly Sunny
Thursday79°60°Partly Sunny
Friday79°60°Slight Chance Rain Showers

National Weather Service forecast, issued Oct 17, 8:29 PM CDT. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights. Full NWS forecast.

Where these numbers come from

Station: Lubbock, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USW00023042), elevation 3,259 ft, 8.8 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: S (standard, 24+ years).

Nearby stations

StationDistanceLast frost (50%)First frost (50%)
Lubbock WFO, TX5 miMar 24Nov 11
Abernathy, TX21 miApr 9Nov 1
Tahoka, TX25 miApr 2Nov 8

The average last-frost dates of these stations span 16 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.

Questions

When is the last frost in 79404?

The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 79404 is April 4. For a safer planting date, use April 22, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.

When is the first frost in 79404?

The average first fall freeze is November 2. In 1 year in 10 it comes by October 19.

What hardiness zone is 79404?

ZIP 79404 is in USDA zone 7b (5 to 10°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.

Other ZIP codes in Lubbock County

79329 79350 79363 79364 79366 79382 79401 79402 79403 79406 79410 79411 79412 79413 79414 79415 79416 79423 79424 All Lubbock County ZIPs