Frost dates for ZIP 75831 (Buffalo, TX)
Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Centerville, TX (15 miles away).
- Average last spring frostMar 2050% chance of a 32°F freeze after this date
- Average first fall frostNov 1250% chance of a 32°F freeze by this date
- Growing season (frost-free)239 daysmedian, 32°F threshold
- USDA hardiness zone8b15 to 20°F avg. coldest night
Last spring frost odds
| Chance of a 32°F freeze after this date | Date |
|---|---|
| 90% (early: most years still freeze after this) | Feb 28 |
| 50% (the "average" last frost) | Mar 20 |
| 10% (safe-side: only 1 year in 10 freezes later) | Apr 10 |
Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.
First fall frost odds
| Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this date | Date |
|---|---|
| 10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon) | Oct 30 |
| 50% (the "average" first frost) | Nov 12 |
| 90% (late: most years have frozen by now) | Dec 2 |
Light frost, freeze and hard freeze
| Threshold | Last spring (50%) | First fall (50%) |
|---|---|---|
| 36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights) | Apr 4 | Nov 2 |
| 32°F (freeze) | Mar 20 | Nov 12 |
| 28°F (hard freeze) | Mar 6 | Nov 26 |
n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).
This week in Buffalo
Soil temperature now
2-inch depth
72°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 74°F, as of Oct 17, 8:00 PM CDT
Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Palestine 6 WNW (27 mi), Riesel (51 mi), Henderson County North (61 mi).
4-inch depth
73°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 74°F, as of Oct 17, 8:00 PM CDT
Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Palestine 6 WNW (27 mi), Riesel (51 mi), Henderson County North (61 mi).
Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.
7-day forecast and frost risk
No frost in the 7-day forecast.
| Period | High | Low | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tonight | 43° | Mostly Clear | |
| Sunday | 70° | 44° | Sunny |
| Monday | 76° | 49° | Sunny |
| Tuesday | 80° | 51° | Sunny |
| Wednesday | 84° | 53° | Sunny |
| Thursday | 86° | 54° | Sunny |
| Friday | 86° | 56° | Sunny |
National Weather Service forecast, issued Oct 17, 8:28 PM CDT. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights. Full NWS forecast.
Free frost alerts for 75831
An email when the National Weather Service forecasts a freeze for this ZIP, plus the spring soil-temperature heads-up. At most a few a month.
Alerts open soon. This form is a preview and doesn't send anything yet.
Where these numbers come from
Station: Centerville, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USC00411596), elevation 320 ft, 15.0 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: S (standard, 24+ years).
Nearby stations
| Station | Distance | Last frost (50%) | First frost (50%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield 3W, TX | 21 mi | Mar 16 | Nov 14 |
| Palestine 6 WNW, TX | 27 mi | Mar 12 | Nov 19 |
| Mexia, TX | 28 mi | Mar 13 | Nov 22 |
The average last-frost dates of these stations span 8 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.
Questions
When is the last frost in 75831?
The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 75831 is March 20. For a safer planting date, use April 10, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.
When is the first frost in 75831?
The average first fall freeze is November 12. In 1 year in 10 it comes by October 30.
What hardiness zone is 75831?
ZIP 75831 is in USDA zone 8b (15 to 20°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.
Other ZIP codes in Leon County
75833 75846 75850 75855 77855 77865 77871 All Leon County ZIPs