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Frost dates for ZIP 77871 (Hilltop Lakes, TX)

Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Madisonville, TX (14 miles away).

This week in your yard

As of Oct 17, 2026, from your frost dates, zone and soil temperature. Lawn timing · Vegetables · Pruning · Plants

Pre-emergent

Soil is 74°F at 4 inches (estimated soil temperature, not a station reading). Fall pre-emergent (annual bluegrass, winter weeds): window open as soil cools through the 70s and 60s.

Fertilizer window

Lawn region: South Central plains. Timing only; always follow the product label.

  • Bermudagrass (warm-season): Spring: Several weeks after the lawn is fully green (April–May) (about May 1 here, using green-up about 3–4 weeks after your average last frost); Summer: Every 4–6 weeks through mid-August (heaviest feeder of the group); Late: Light, low-nitrogen/high-potassium feeding about 4 weeks before first frost, or skip. Avoid: Heavy late-fall nitrogen (linked to spring dead spot).
  • Tall fescue (cool-season): Early fall: September (main feeding); Late fall: November, while still green; Late winter: Optional light feeding February–March. Avoid: Feeding after mid-spring and through summer in the transition zone (stress and brown patch).

Plant now

  • Garlic: fall sowing Sep 30–Oct 28
  • Shallot: fall sowing Sep 30–Oct 28

Prune now

No frost-timed pruning windows are open this week.

Your average first frost is Nov 11: skip heavy pruning in the 6–8 weeks before it, because new growth may not harden off in time.

Spring-flowering shrubs are pruned right after their flowers fade, not by date. See the pruning guide.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLight blue: spring freeze risk (90% to 10%). Tan: fall freeze risk (10% to 90%). Dark lines: 50% dates.

Last spring frost odds

Chance of a 32°F freeze after this dateDate
90% (early: most years still freeze after this)Feb 23
50% (the "average" last frost)Mar 16
10% (cautious: only 1 year in 10 freezes later)Apr 7

Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.

First fall frost odds

Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this dateDate
10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon)Oct 25
50% (the "average" first frost)Nov 11
90% (late: most years have frozen by now)Dec 1

Light frost, freeze and hard freeze

ThresholdLast spring (50%)First fall (50%)
36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights)Mar 31Nov 2
32°F (freeze)Mar 16Nov 11
28°F (hard freeze)Mar 2Nov 20

n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).

Vegetable planting calendar for 77871

Dates count from your average last spring frost (Mar 16) and first fall frost (Nov 11). Half of years have a frost after the spring date, so give tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, squash) some slack.

CropStart indoorsSpring plantingFall planting
TomatoJan 19–Feb 2Mar 23–Apr 6 (transplant)Jul 15–Aug 12 (transplant)
Pepper (sweet and hot)Jan 5–19Mar 30–Apr 13 (transplant)Jul 22–Aug 12 (transplant)
EggplantJan 5–19Mar 30–Apr 13 (transplant)Jul 22–Aug 12 (transplant)
TomatilloJan 19–Feb 2Mar 23–Apr 6 (transplant)–
LettuceJan 19–Feb 2Feb 23–Mar 16 (transplant)
Feb 16–Mar 30 (sow outdoors)
Sep 16–Oct 7 (transplant)
Sep 2–30 (sowing)
Spinach–Feb 2–23 (sow outdoors)Sep 16–Oct 7 (sowing)
KaleJan 19–Feb 2Feb 16–Mar 2 (transplant)
Feb 16–Mar 2 (sow outdoors)
Aug 19–Sep 16 (transplant)
Aug 5–Sep 2 (sowing)
CollardsJan 19–Feb 2Feb 16–Mar 16 (transplant)
Feb 16–Mar 16 (sow outdoors)
Aug 19–Sep 16 (transplant)
Aug 5–Sep 2 (sowing)
BroccoliJan 5–19Feb 16–Mar 2 (transplant)Aug 5–Sep 2 (transplant)
CabbageJan 5–19Feb 16–Mar 2 (transplant)Aug 5–Sep 2 (transplant)
CauliflowerJan 5–19Mar 2–16 (transplant)Aug 5–Sep 2 (transplant)
Brussels sproutsDec 22–Jan 5Feb 16–Mar 2 (transplant)Jul 22–Aug 12 (transplant)
KohlrabiJan 19–Feb 2Feb 16–Mar 2 (transplant)
Feb 16–Mar 2 (sow outdoors)
Sep 2–16 (sowing)
Bok choy / Asian greens–Feb 16–Mar 2 (sow outdoors)Sep 16–30 (sowing)
Arugula–Feb 16–Mar 16 (sow outdoors)Sep 16–Oct 14 (sowing)
Mustard greens–Feb 16–Mar 9 (sow outdoors)Sep 16–30 (sowing)
Swiss chardFeb 2–16Mar 2–23 (transplant)
Mar 2–30 (sow outdoors)
Sep 2–16 (sowing)
Beet–Feb 16–Mar 16 (sow outdoors)Sep 2–16 (sowing)
Carrot–Feb 23–Mar 23 (sow outdoors)Aug 19–Sep 2 (sowing)
Radish–Feb 9–Mar 23 (sow outdoors)Sep 30–Oct 14 (sowing)
Turnip–Feb 16–Mar 9 (sow outdoors)Sep 2–16 (sowing)
Parsnip–Feb 23–Mar 16 (sow outdoors)–
Pea (garden, snap, snow)–Jan 19–Feb 16 (sow outdoors)Aug 19–Sep 2 (sowing)
Onion (bulbing)Dec 22–Jan 5Feb 2–16 (transplant)–
Green onion / scallion–Feb 2–Mar 2 (sow outdoors)Sep 2–16 (sowing)
LeekDec 22–Jan 5Feb 16–Mar 2 (transplant)–
Garlic––Sep 30–Oct 28 (sowing)
Shallot–Feb 2–16 (transplant)Sep 30–Oct 28 (sowing)
Potato–Feb 16–Mar 2 (transplant)Jul 22–Aug 5 (transplant)
Sweet potato–Apr 6–20 (transplant)–
Sweet corn–Mar 23–Apr 6 (sow outdoors)–
Bean, bush (snap)–Mar 23–Apr 6 (sow outdoors)Aug 19–Sep 2 (sowing)
Bean, pole–Mar 23–Apr 6 (sow outdoors)–
Lima bean–Mar 30–Apr 13 (sow outdoors)–
Southern pea (cowpea, black-eyed pea)–Apr 6–27 (sow outdoors)–
CucumberFeb 16–23Mar 23–Apr 6 (transplant)
Mar 23–Apr 6 (sow outdoors)
Aug 19–Sep 2 (sowing)
Summer squash / zucchiniFeb 16–23Mar 23–Apr 6 (transplant)
Mar 23–Apr 6 (sow outdoors)
Aug 19–Sep 2 (sowing)
Winter squashFeb 16–23Mar 23–Apr 6 (transplant)
Mar 23–Apr 6 (sow outdoors)
–
Pumpkin–Mar 23–Apr 6 (sow outdoors)–
WatermelonFeb 16–23Mar 30–Apr 13 (transplant)
Mar 30–Apr 13 (sow outdoors)
–
Cantaloupe / muskmelonFeb 16–23Mar 30–Apr 13 (transplant)
Mar 30–Apr 13 (sow outdoors)
–
OkraFeb 2–16Mar 30–Apr 13 (transplant)
Mar 30–Apr 13 (sow outdoors)
–
CeleryDec 22–Jan 5Mar 23–30 (transplant)–
BasilFeb 2–16Mar 23–Apr 6 (transplant)
Mar 23–Apr 6 (sow outdoors)
–
Cilantro–Mar 2–30 (sow outdoors)Sep 16–30 (sowing)
ParsleyJan 5–19Mar 2–16 (transplant)
Feb 23–Mar 16 (sow outdoors)
–
Dill–Mar 16–30 (sow outdoors)Sep 16–30 (sowing)
Sunflower–Mar 16–30 (sow outdoors)–
Asparagus (crowns)–Feb 16–Mar 2 (transplant)–
Rhubarb (crowns)–Feb 16–Mar 2 (transplant)–
Strawberry (plants)–Feb 16–Mar 2 (transplant)Sep 2–30 (transplant)

Typical ranges from university extension planting calendars, adjusted to your frost dates. Probabilities, not guarantees. Fall windows that would overlap spring planting are left out, as are fall crops of frost-tender plants where the frost-free season is under 210 days.

Plants that do well here

Texas A&M AgriLife trials name plants that handle Texas conditions: the Texas Superstar® list and the low-care roses from AgriLife trials. Plant frost-tender annuals after March 16 here (the average last frost). More on plants for Texas. Not affiliated with Texas A&M AgriLife.

This week in Hilltop Lakes

Soil temperature now

2-inch depth

73°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 72°F, as of Oct 17, 10:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Riesel (54 mi), Palestine 6 WNW (55 mi), Goetsch Ranch (61 mi).

4-inch depth

74°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 74°F, as of Oct 17, 10:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Riesel (54 mi), Palestine 6 WNW (55 mi), Goetsch Ranch (61 mi).

Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.

7-day forecast and frost risk

The latest National Weather Service 7-day forecast and any Frost Advisory or Freeze Warning for 77871 load here. You can also open the NWS forecast for this ZIP.

Where these numbers come from

Station: Madisonville, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USC00415477), elevation 252 ft, 13.9 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: S (standard, 24+ years).

Nearby stations

StationDistanceLast frost (50%)First frost (50%)
Centerville, TX16 miMar 20Nov 12
Franklin, TX22 miFeb 28Nov 28
College STN, TX36 miFeb 27Nov 30

The average last-frost dates of these stations span 24 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.

Frost questions for 77871

When is the last frost in 77871?

The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 77871 is March 16. For a more cautious planting date, use April 7, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.

When is the first frost in 77871?

The average first fall freeze is November 11. In 1 year in 10 it comes by October 25.

What hardiness zone is 77871?

ZIP 77871 is in USDA zone 9a (20 to 25°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.

What is the soil temperature in 77871 right now?

This page shows the latest 2-inch and 4-inch soil temperature from the nearest public soil station (USDA SCAN, NOAA USCRN or TexMesonet), or a labeled estimate when no station is close, against the 50–55°F spring pre-emergent band.

Nearby ZIP codes

77855 75850 Leona 77872 77865 Marquez 77864 Madisonville 77856 Franklin 77882 75846 Jewett

Other ZIP codes in Leon County

75831 75833 75846 75850 75855 77855 77865 All Leon County frost dates · Texas frost dates