YardThisWeek

Frost dates for ZIP 77441 (Fulshear, TX)

Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Sealy, TX (15 miles away).

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLight blue: spring freeze risk (90% to 10%). Tan: fall freeze risk (10% to 90%). Dark lines: 50% dates.

Last spring frost odds

Chance of a 32°F freeze after this dateDate
90% (early: most years still freeze after this)Jan 30
50% (the "average" last frost)Feb 28
10% (safe-side: only 1 year in 10 freezes later)Mar 21

Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.

First fall frost odds

Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this dateDate
10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon)Nov 9
50% (the "average" first frost)Nov 30
90% (late: most years have frozen by now)Dec 29

Light frost, freeze and hard freeze

ThresholdLast spring (50%)First fall (50%)
36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights)Mar 13Nov 17
32°F (freeze)Feb 28Nov 30
28°F (hard freeze)Feb 10Dec 20

n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).

This week in Fulshear

Soil temperature now

2-inch depth

71°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 72°F, as of Oct 17, 8:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Prairie View #1 (28 mi), Wied Ranch (37 mi), Wegenhoft (45 mi).

4-inch depth

73°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 73°F, as of Oct 17, 8:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Prairie View #1 (28 mi), Wied Ranch (37 mi), Wegenhoft (45 mi).

Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.

7-day forecast and frost risk

No frost in the 7-day forecast.

PeriodHighLowForecast
Tonight50°Mostly Clear
Sunday74°54°Sunny
Monday79°58°Mostly Sunny
Tuesday82°60°Mostly Sunny
Wednesday86°58°Sunny
Thursday88°60°Sunny
Friday88°62°Sunny

National Weather Service forecast, issued Oct 17, 8:28 PM CDT. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights. Full NWS forecast.

Where these numbers come from

Station: Sealy, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USC00418160), elevation 196 ft, 15.0 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: R (representative, 10+ years).

Nearby stations

StationDistanceLast frost (50%)First frost (50%)
Sugar Land, TX16 miFeb 9Dec 13
Houston Sugarland Mem, TX16 miFeb 2Dec 11
Thompsons 3 WSW, TX22 miFeb 15Dec 6

The average last-frost dates of these stations span 26 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.

Questions

When is the last frost in 77441?

The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 77441 is February 28. For a safer planting date, use March 21, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.

When is the first frost in 77441?

The average first fall freeze is November 30. In 1 year in 10 it comes by November 9.

What hardiness zone is 77441?

ZIP 77441 is in USDA zone 9a (20 to 25°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.

Other ZIP codes in Fort Bend County

77053 77406 77407 77417 77444 77451 77459 77461 77464 77469 77471 77476 77477 77478 77479 77481 77489 77494 77498 77545 All Fort Bend County ZIPs