Frost dates for ZIP 77461 (Needville, TX)
Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Thompsons 3 WSW, TX (11 miles away).
- Average last spring frostFeb 1550% chance of a 32°F freeze after this date
- Average first fall frostDec 650% chance of a 32°F freeze by this date
- Growing season (frost-free)297 daysmedian, 32°F threshold
- USDA hardiness zone9b25 to 30°F avg. coldest night
Last spring frost odds
| Chance of a 32°F freeze after this date | Date |
|---|---|
| 90% (early: most years still freeze after this) | Jan 13 |
| 50% (the "average" last frost) | Feb 15 |
| 10% (safe-side: only 1 year in 10 freezes later) | Mar 15 |
Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.
First fall frost odds
| Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this date | Date |
|---|---|
| 10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon) | Nov 13 |
| 50% (the "average" first frost) | Dec 6 |
| 90% (late: most years have frozen by now) | Jan 5 (next year) |
Light frost, freeze and hard freeze
| Threshold | Last spring (50%) | First fall (50%) |
|---|---|---|
| 36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights) | Mar 6 | Nov 22 |
| 32°F (freeze) | Feb 15 | Dec 6 |
| 28°F (hard freeze) | Jan 26 | Dec 29 |
n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).
This week in Needville
Soil temperature now
2-inch depth
73°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 74°F, as of Oct 17, 8:00 PM CDT
Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Wied Ranch (40 mi), Prairie View #1 (50 mi), Bobadoo Ranch (54 mi).
4-inch depth
75°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 75°F, as of Oct 17, 8:00 PM CDT
Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Wied Ranch (40 mi), Prairie View #1 (50 mi), Bobadoo Ranch (54 mi).
Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.
7-day forecast and frost risk
No frost in the 7-day forecast.
| Period | High | Low | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tonight | 50° | Partly Cloudy | |
| Sunday | 75° | 55° | Sunny |
| Monday | 80° | 58° | Mostly Sunny |
| Tuesday | 84° | 59° | Mostly Sunny |
| Wednesday | 87° | 57° | Sunny |
| Thursday | 89° | 59° | Sunny |
| Friday | 89° | 62° | Sunny |
National Weather Service forecast, issued Oct 17, 8:28 PM CDT. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights. Full NWS forecast.
Free frost alerts for 77461
An email when the National Weather Service forecasts a freeze for this ZIP, plus the spring soil-temperature heads-up. At most a few a month.
Alerts open soon. This form is a preview and doesn't send anything yet.
Where these numbers come from
Station: Thompsons 3 WSW, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USC00418996), elevation 70 ft, 10.6 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: S (standard, 24+ years).
Nearby stations
| Station | Distance | Last frost (50%) | First frost (50%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sugar Land, TX | 17 mi | Feb 9 | Dec 13 |
| Houston Sugarland Mem, TX | 17 mi | Feb 2 | Dec 11 |
| Angleton 2 W, TX | 25 mi | Jan 29 | Dec 31 |
The average last-frost dates of these stations span 17 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.
Questions
When is the last frost in 77461?
The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 77461 is February 15. For a safer planting date, use March 15, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.
When is the first frost in 77461?
The average first fall freeze is December 6. In 1 year in 10 it comes by November 13.
What hardiness zone is 77461?
ZIP 77461 is in USDA zone 9b (25 to 30°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.
Other ZIP codes in Fort Bend County
77053 77406 77407 77417 77441 77444 77451 77459 77464 77469 77471 77476 77477 77478 77479 77481 77489 77494 77498 77545 All Fort Bend County ZIPs