YardThisWeek

Frost dates for ZIP 78069 (Somerset, TX)

Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Lytle 3W, TX (11 miles away).

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLight blue: spring freeze risk (90% to 10%). Tan: fall freeze risk (10% to 90%). Dark lines: 50% dates.

Last spring frost odds

Chance of a 32°F freeze after this dateDate
90% (early: most years still freeze after this)Jan 23
50% (the "average" last frost)Feb 24
10% (safe-side: only 1 year in 10 freezes later)Mar 14

Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.

First fall frost odds

Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this dateDate
10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon)Nov 14
50% (the "average" first frost)Dec 2
90% (late: most years have frozen by now)Dec 30

Light frost, freeze and hard freeze

ThresholdLast spring (50%)First fall (50%)
36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights)Mar 6Nov 21
32°F (freeze)Feb 24Dec 2
28°F (hard freeze)Feb 4Dec 18

n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).

This week in Somerset

Soil temperature now

2-inch depth

74°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 76°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Three Oaks (36 mi), EAA Field Research Park (37 mi), Strey Ranch (40 mi).

4-inch depth

76°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 77°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Three Oaks (36 mi), EAA Field Research Park (37 mi), Strey Ranch (40 mi).

Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.

7-day forecast and frost risk

No frost in the 7-day forecast.

PeriodHighLowForecast
Tonight47°Partly Cloudy
Sunday72°53°Mostly Sunny
Monday77°58°Mostly Sunny
Tuesday83°60°Mostly Sunny
Wednesday86°61°Mostly Sunny
Thursday87°61°Sunny
Friday88°63°Sunny

National Weather Service forecast, issued Oct 17, 8:28 PM CDT. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights. Full NWS forecast.

Where these numbers come from

Station: Lytle 3W, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USC00415454), elevation 722 ft, 10.9 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: R (representative, 10+ years).

Nearby stations

StationDistanceLast frost (50%)First frost (50%)
Poteet, TX13 miFeb 22Dec 1
San Antonio Kelly AFB, TX14 miFeb 22Dec 2
San Antonio Stinson AP, TX16 miFeb 20Dec 3

The average last-frost dates of these stations span 4 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.

Questions

When is the last frost in 78069?

The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 78069 is February 24. For a safer planting date, use March 14, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.

When is the first frost in 78069?

The average first fall freeze is December 2. In 1 year in 10 it comes by November 14.

What hardiness zone is 78069?

ZIP 78069 is in USDA zone 9a (20 to 25°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.

Other ZIP codes in Atascosa County

78008 78011 78012 78026 78050 78052 78062 78064 78065 All Atascosa County ZIPs