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Frost dates for ZIP 78144 (Karnes County, TX)

Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Karnes City 2N, TX (3 miles away).

This week in your yard

As of Oct 17, 2026, from your frost dates, zone and soil temperature. Lawn timing · Vegetables · Pruning · Plants

Pre-emergent

Soil is 74°F at 4 inches. Fall pre-emergent (annual bluegrass, winter weeds): window open as soil cools through the 70s and 60s.

Fertilizer window

Lawn region: South Central plains. Timing only; always follow the product label.

  • Bermudagrass (warm-season): Spring: Several weeks after the lawn is fully green (April–May) (about Apr 3 here, using green-up about 3–4 weeks after your average last frost); Summer: Every 4–6 weeks through mid-August (heaviest feeder of the group); Late: Light, low-nitrogen/high-potassium feeding about 4 weeks before first frost, or skip. Avoid: Heavy late-fall nitrogen (linked to spring dead spot).
  • Tall fescue (cool-season): Early fall: September (main feeding); Late fall: November, while still green; Late winter: Optional light feeding February–March. Avoid: Feeding after mid-spring and through summer in the transition zone (stress and brown patch).

Plant now

Coming up in the next 3 weeks

  • Radish: fall sowing Oct 28–Nov 11
  • Garlic: fall sowing Oct 28–Nov 25
  • Shallot: fall sowing Oct 28–Nov 25

Prune now

No frost-timed pruning windows are open this week.

Your average first frost is Dec 9: skip heavy pruning in the 6–8 weeks before it, because new growth may not harden off in time.

Spring-flowering shrubs are pruned right after their flowers fade, not by date. See the pruning guide.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLight blue: spring freeze risk (90% to 10%). Tan: fall freeze risk (10% to 90%). Dark lines: 50% dates.

Last spring frost odds

Chance of a 32°F freeze after this dateDate
90% (early: most years still freeze after this)Jan 13
50% (the "average" last frost)Feb 16
10% (cautious: only 1 year in 10 freezes later)Mar 13

Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.

First fall frost odds

Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this dateDate
10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon)Nov 20
50% (the "average" first frost)Dec 9
90% (late: most years have frozen by now)Jan 10 (next year)

Light frost, freeze and hard freeze

ThresholdLast spring (50%)First fall (50%)
36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights)Mar 4Nov 27
32°F (freeze)Feb 16Dec 9
28°F (hard freeze)Jan 28Dec 27

n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).

Vegetable planting calendar for 78144

Dates count from your average last spring frost (Feb 16) and first fall frost (Dec 9). Half of years have a frost after the spring date, so give tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, squash) some slack.

CropStart indoorsSpring plantingFall planting
TomatoDec 22–Jan 5Feb 23–Mar 9 (transplant)Aug 12–Sep 9 (transplant)
Pepper (sweet and hot)Dec 8–22Mar 2–16 (transplant)Aug 19–Sep 9 (transplant)
EggplantDec 8–22Mar 2–16 (transplant)Aug 19–Sep 9 (transplant)
TomatilloDec 22–Jan 5Feb 23–Mar 9 (transplant)–
LettuceDec 22–Jan 5Jan 26–Feb 16 (transplant)
Jan 19–Mar 2 (sow outdoors)
Oct 14–Nov 4 (transplant)
Sep 30–Oct 28 (sowing)
Spinach–Jan 5–26 (sow outdoors)Oct 14–Nov 4 (sowing)
KaleDec 22–Jan 5Jan 19–Feb 2 (transplant)
Jan 19–Feb 2 (sow outdoors)
Sep 16–Oct 14 (transplant)
Sep 2–30 (sowing)
CollardsDec 22–Jan 5Jan 19–Feb 16 (transplant)
Jan 19–Feb 16 (sow outdoors)
Sep 16–Oct 14 (transplant)
Sep 2–30 (sowing)
BroccoliDec 8–22Jan 19–Feb 2 (transplant)Sep 2–30 (transplant)
CabbageDec 8–22Jan 19–Feb 2 (transplant)Sep 2–30 (transplant)
CauliflowerDec 8–22Feb 2–16 (transplant)Sep 2–30 (transplant)
Brussels sproutsNov 24–Dec 8Jan 19–Feb 2 (transplant)Aug 19–Sep 9 (transplant)
KohlrabiDec 22–Jan 5Jan 19–Feb 2 (transplant)
Jan 19–Feb 2 (sow outdoors)
Sep 30–Oct 14 (sowing)
Bok choy / Asian greens–Jan 19–Feb 2 (sow outdoors)Oct 14–28 (sowing)
Arugula–Jan 19–Feb 16 (sow outdoors)Oct 14–Nov 11 (sowing)
Mustard greens–Jan 19–Feb 9 (sow outdoors)Oct 14–28 (sowing)
Swiss chardJan 5–19Feb 2–23 (transplant)
Feb 2–Mar 2 (sow outdoors)
Sep 30–Oct 14 (sowing)
Beet–Jan 19–Feb 16 (sow outdoors)Sep 30–Oct 14 (sowing)
Carrot–Jan 26–Feb 23 (sow outdoors)Sep 16–30 (sowing)
Radish–Jan 12–Feb 23 (sow outdoors)Oct 28–Nov 11 (sowing)
Turnip–Jan 19–Feb 9 (sow outdoors)Sep 30–Oct 14 (sowing)
Parsnip–Jan 26–Feb 16 (sow outdoors)–
Pea (garden, snap, snow)–Dec 22–Jan 19 (sow outdoors)Sep 16–30 (sowing)
Onion (bulbing)Nov 24–Dec 8Jan 5–19 (transplant)–
Green onion / scallion–Jan 5–Feb 2 (sow outdoors)Sep 30–Oct 14 (sowing)
LeekNov 24–Dec 8Jan 19–Feb 2 (transplant)–
Garlic––Oct 28–Nov 25 (sowing)
Shallot–Jan 5–19 (transplant)Oct 28–Nov 25 (sowing)
Potato–Jan 19–Feb 2 (transplant)Aug 19–Sep 2 (transplant)
Sweet potato–Mar 9–23 (transplant)–
Sweet corn–Feb 23–Mar 9 (sow outdoors)–
Bean, bush (snap)–Feb 23–Mar 9 (sow outdoors)Sep 16–30 (sowing)
Bean, pole–Feb 23–Mar 9 (sow outdoors)–
Lima bean–Mar 2–16 (sow outdoors)–
Southern pea (cowpea, black-eyed pea)–Mar 9–30 (sow outdoors)–
CucumberJan 19–26Feb 23–Mar 9 (transplant)
Feb 23–Mar 9 (sow outdoors)
Sep 16–30 (sowing)
Summer squash / zucchiniJan 19–26Feb 23–Mar 9 (transplant)
Feb 23–Mar 9 (sow outdoors)
Sep 16–30 (sowing)
Winter squashJan 19–26Feb 23–Mar 9 (transplant)
Feb 23–Mar 9 (sow outdoors)
–
Pumpkin–Feb 23–Mar 9 (sow outdoors)–
WatermelonJan 19–26Mar 2–16 (transplant)
Mar 2–16 (sow outdoors)
–
Cantaloupe / muskmelonJan 19–26Mar 2–16 (transplant)
Mar 2–16 (sow outdoors)
–
OkraJan 5–19Mar 2–16 (transplant)
Mar 2–16 (sow outdoors)
–
CeleryNov 24–Dec 8Feb 23–Mar 2 (transplant)–
BasilJan 5–19Feb 23–Mar 9 (transplant)
Feb 23–Mar 9 (sow outdoors)
–
Cilantro–Feb 2–Mar 2 (sow outdoors)Oct 14–28 (sowing)
ParsleyDec 8–22Feb 2–16 (transplant)
Jan 26–Feb 16 (sow outdoors)
–
Dill–Feb 16–Mar 2 (sow outdoors)Oct 14–28 (sowing)
Sunflower–Feb 16–Mar 2 (sow outdoors)–
Asparagus (crowns)–Jan 19–Feb 2 (transplant)–
Rhubarb (crowns)–Jan 19–Feb 2 (transplant)–
Strawberry (plants)–Jan 19–Feb 2 (transplant)Sep 30–Oct 28 (transplant)

Typical ranges from university extension planting calendars, adjusted to your frost dates. Probabilities, not guarantees. Fall windows that would overlap spring planting are left out, as are fall crops of frost-tender plants where the frost-free season is under 210 days.

Plants that do well here

Texas A&M AgriLife trials name plants that handle Texas conditions: the Texas Superstar® list and the low-care roses from AgriLife trials. Plant frost-tender annuals after February 16 here (the average last frost). More on plants for Texas. Not affiliated with Texas A&M AgriLife.

This week in 78144

Soil temperature now

2-inch depth

71°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 73°F, as of Oct 17, 9:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Measured at TexMesonet (TWDB) station KV Ranch, 12 mi away. Daily averages: Thu 84°, Fri 78°.

4-inch depth

74°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 76°F, as of Oct 17, 9:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Measured at TexMesonet (TWDB) station KV Ranch, 12 mi away. Daily averages: Thu 84°, Fri 81°.

Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.

7-day forecast and frost risk

The latest National Weather Service 7-day forecast and any Frost Advisory or Freeze Warning for 78144 load here. You can also open the NWS forecast for this ZIP.

Where these numbers come from

Station: Karnes City 2N, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USC00414696), elevation 450 ft, 3.2 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: R (representative, 10+ years).

Nearby stations

StationDistanceLast frost (50%)First frost (50%)
Floresville, TX21 miMar 6Nov 20
Nixon, TX24 miMar 7Nov 22
Cuero, TX35 miMar 2Nov 27

The average last-frost dates of these stations span 22 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.

Frost questions for 78144

When is the last frost in 78144?

The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 78144 is February 16. For a more cautious planting date, use March 13, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.

When is the first frost in 78144?

The average first fall freeze is December 9. In 1 year in 10 it comes by November 20.

What hardiness zone is 78144?

ZIP 78144 is in USDA zone 9a (20 to 25°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.

What is the soil temperature in 78144 right now?

This page shows the latest 2-inch and 4-inch soil temperature from the nearest public soil station (USDA SCAN, NOAA USCRN or TexMesonet), or a labeled estimate when no station is close, against the 50–55°F spring pre-emergent band.

Nearby ZIP codes

78117 78118 Karnes City 78111 78151 Runge 78116 78147 Poth 78113 Falls City 78119 Kenedy

Other ZIP codes in Karnes County

78111 78116 78117 78118 78119 78151 All Karnes County frost dates · Texas frost dates