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Frost dates for ZIP 78159 (Smiley, TX)

Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Nixon, TX (12 miles away).

This week in your yard

As of Oct 18, 2026, from your frost dates, zone and soil temperature. Lawn timing · Vegetables · Pruning · Plants

Soil temperature now

2-inch depth

67°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 65°F, as of Oct 18, 1:00 AM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Measured at TexMesonet (TWDB) station Pennell Cattle Co, 10 mi away. Daily averages: Thu 78°, Fri 74°, Sat 68°.

4-inch depth

71°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 70°F, as of Oct 18, 1:00 AM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Measured at TexMesonet (TWDB) station Pennell Cattle Co, 10 mi away. Daily averages: Thu 79°, Fri 76°, Sat 71°.

Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.

7-day forecast and frost risk

The latest National Weather Service 7-day forecast and any Frost Advisory or Freeze Warning for 78159 load here. You can also open the NWS forecast for this ZIP.

Pre-emergent

Soil is 71°F at 4 inches. Fall pre-emergent (annual bluegrass, winter weeds): window open as soil cools through the 70s and 60s.

Fertilizer window

Lawn region: South Central plains. Timing only; always follow the product label.

  • Bermudagrass (warm-season): Spring: Several weeks after the lawn is fully green (April–May) (about Apr 22 here, using green-up about 3–4 weeks after your average last frost); Summer: Every 4–6 weeks through mid-August (heaviest feeder of the group); Late: Light, low-nitrogen/high-potassium feeding about 4 weeks before first frost, or skip. Avoid: Heavy late-fall nitrogen (linked to spring dead spot).
  • Tall fescue (cool-season): Early fall: September (main feeding); Late fall: November, while still green; Late winter: Optional light feeding February–March. Avoid: Feeding after mid-spring and through summer in the transition zone (stress and brown patch).

Plant now

  • Lettuce: fall transplant Sep 27–Oct 18
  • Spinach: fall sowing Sep 27–Oct 18
  • Arugula: fall sowing Sep 27–Oct 25
  • Radish: fall sowing Oct 11–25
  • Garlic: fall sowing Oct 11–Nov 8
  • Shallot: fall sowing Oct 11–Nov 8

Prune now

No frost-timed pruning windows are open this week.

Your average first frost is Nov 22: skip heavy pruning in the 6–8 weeks before it, because new growth may not harden off in time.

Spring-flowering shrubs are pruned right after their flowers fade, not by date. See the pruning guide.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLight blue: spring freeze risk (90% to 10%). Tan: fall freeze risk (10% to 90%). Dark lines: 50% dates.

Last spring frost odds

Chance of a 32°F freeze after this dateDate
90% (early: most years still freeze after this)Feb 9
50% (the "average" last frost)Mar 7
10% (cautious: only 1 year in 10 freezes later)Mar 30

Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.

First fall frost odds

Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this dateDate
10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon)Nov 2
50% (the "average" first frost)Nov 22
90% (late: most years have frozen by now)Dec 11

Light frost, freeze and hard freeze

ThresholdLast spring (50%)First fall (50%)
36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights)Mar 21Nov 11
32°F (freeze)Mar 7Nov 22
28°F (hard freeze)Feb 20Dec 4

n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).

Vegetable planting calendar for 78159

Dates count from your average last spring frost (Mar 7) and first fall frost (Nov 22). Half of years have a frost after the spring date, so give tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, squash) some slack.

Start seeds indoorsSpring plantingFall plantingLast frostFirst frostJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTomatoPepperEggplantTomatilloLettuceSpinachKaleCollardsBroccoliCabbageCauliflowerBrussels sproutsKohlrabiBok choy / Asian greensArugulaMustard greensSwiss chardBeetCarrotRadishTurnipParsnipPeaOnionGreen onion / scallionLeekGarlicShallotPotatoSweet potatoSweet cornBean, bushBean, poleLima beanSouthern peaCucumberSummer squash / zucchiniWinter squashPumpkinWatermelonCantaloupe / muskmelonOkraCeleryBasilCilantroParsleyDillSunflowerAsparagusRhubarbStrawberry
CropStart indoorsSpring plantingFall planting
TomatoJan 10–24Mar 14–28 (transplant)Jul 26–Aug 23 (transplant)
Pepper (sweet and hot)Dec 27–Jan 10Mar 21–Apr 4 (transplant)Aug 2–23 (transplant)
EggplantDec 27–Jan 10Mar 21–Apr 4 (transplant)Aug 2–23 (transplant)
TomatilloJan 10–24Mar 14–28 (transplant)–
LettuceJan 10–24Feb 14–Mar 7 (transplant)
Feb 7–Mar 21 (sow outdoors)
Sep 27–Oct 18 (transplant)
Sep 13–Oct 11 (sowing)
Spinach–Jan 24–Feb 14 (sow outdoors)Sep 27–Oct 18 (sowing)
KaleJan 10–24Feb 7–21 (transplant)
Feb 7–21 (sow outdoors)
Aug 30–Sep 27 (transplant)
Aug 16–Sep 13 (sowing)
CollardsJan 10–24Feb 7–Mar 7 (transplant)
Feb 7–Mar 7 (sow outdoors)
Aug 30–Sep 27 (transplant)
Aug 16–Sep 13 (sowing)
BroccoliDec 27–Jan 10Feb 7–21 (transplant)Aug 16–Sep 13 (transplant)
CabbageDec 27–Jan 10Feb 7–21 (transplant)Aug 16–Sep 13 (transplant)
CauliflowerDec 27–Jan 10Feb 21–Mar 7 (transplant)Aug 16–Sep 13 (transplant)
Brussels sproutsDec 13–27Feb 7–21 (transplant)Aug 2–23 (transplant)
KohlrabiJan 10–24Feb 7–21 (transplant)
Feb 7–21 (sow outdoors)
Sep 13–27 (sowing)
Bok choy / Asian greens–Feb 7–21 (sow outdoors)Sep 27–Oct 11 (sowing)
Arugula–Feb 7–Mar 7 (sow outdoors)Sep 27–Oct 25 (sowing)
Mustard greens–Feb 7–28 (sow outdoors)Sep 27–Oct 11 (sowing)
Swiss chardJan 24–Feb 7Feb 21–Mar 14 (transplant)
Feb 21–Mar 21 (sow outdoors)
Sep 13–27 (sowing)
Beet–Feb 7–Mar 7 (sow outdoors)Sep 13–27 (sowing)
Carrot–Feb 14–Mar 14 (sow outdoors)Aug 30–Sep 13 (sowing)
Radish–Jan 31–Mar 14 (sow outdoors)Oct 11–25 (sowing)
Turnip–Feb 7–28 (sow outdoors)Sep 13–27 (sowing)
Parsnip–Feb 14–Mar 7 (sow outdoors)–
Pea (garden, snap, snow)–Jan 10–Feb 7 (sow outdoors)Aug 30–Sep 13 (sowing)
Onion (bulbing)Dec 13–27Jan 24–Feb 7 (transplant)–
Green onion / scallion–Jan 24–Feb 21 (sow outdoors)Sep 13–27 (sowing)
LeekDec 13–27Feb 7–21 (transplant)–
Garlic––Oct 11–Nov 8 (sowing)
Shallot–Jan 24–Feb 7 (transplant)Oct 11–Nov 8 (sowing)
Potato–Feb 7–21 (transplant)Aug 2–16 (transplant)
Sweet potato–Mar 28–Apr 11 (transplant)–
Sweet corn–Mar 14–28 (sow outdoors)–
Bean, bush (snap)–Mar 14–28 (sow outdoors)Aug 30–Sep 13 (sowing)
Bean, pole–Mar 14–28 (sow outdoors)–
Lima bean–Mar 21–Apr 4 (sow outdoors)–
Southern pea (cowpea, black-eyed pea)–Mar 28–Apr 18 (sow outdoors)–
CucumberFeb 7–14Mar 14–28 (transplant)
Mar 14–28 (sow outdoors)
Aug 30–Sep 13 (sowing)
Summer squash / zucchiniFeb 7–14Mar 14–28 (transplant)
Mar 14–28 (sow outdoors)
Aug 30–Sep 13 (sowing)
Winter squashFeb 7–14Mar 14–28 (transplant)
Mar 14–28 (sow outdoors)
–
Pumpkin–Mar 14–28 (sow outdoors)–
WatermelonFeb 7–14Mar 21–Apr 4 (transplant)
Mar 21–Apr 4 (sow outdoors)
–
Cantaloupe / muskmelonFeb 7–14Mar 21–Apr 4 (transplant)
Mar 21–Apr 4 (sow outdoors)
–
OkraJan 24–Feb 7Mar 21–Apr 4 (transplant)
Mar 21–Apr 4 (sow outdoors)
–
CeleryDec 13–27Mar 14–21 (transplant)–
BasilJan 24–Feb 7Mar 14–28 (transplant)
Mar 14–28 (sow outdoors)
–
Cilantro–Feb 21–Mar 21 (sow outdoors)Sep 27–Oct 11 (sowing)
ParsleyDec 27–Jan 10Feb 21–Mar 7 (transplant)
Feb 14–Mar 7 (sow outdoors)
–
Dill–Mar 7–21 (sow outdoors)Sep 27–Oct 11 (sowing)
Sunflower–Mar 7–21 (sow outdoors)–
Asparagus (crowns)–Feb 7–21 (transplant)–
Rhubarb (crowns)–Feb 7–21 (transplant)–
Strawberry (plants)–Feb 7–21 (transplant)Sep 13–Oct 11 (transplant)

Typical ranges from university extension planting calendars, adjusted to your frost dates. Probabilities, not guarantees. Fall windows that would overlap spring planting are left out, as are fall crops of frost-tender plants where the frost-free season is under 210 days.

Plants that do well here

Texas A&M AgriLife trials name plants that handle Texas conditions: the Texas Superstar® list and the low-care roses from AgriLife trials. Plant frost-tender annuals after March 7 here (the average last frost). More on plants for Texas. Not affiliated with Texas A&M AgriLife.

Where these numbers come from

Station: Nixon, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USC00416368), elevation 340 ft, 11.7 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: R (representative, 10+ years).

Nearby stations

StationDistanceLast frost (50%)First frost (50%)
Cheapside, TX12 miFeb 21Dec 1
Cuero, TX17 miMar 2Nov 27
Gonzales 2S, TX19 miFeb 26Nov 28

The average last-frost dates of these stations span 17 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.

Frost questions for 78159

When is the last frost in 78159?

The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 78159 is March 7. For a more cautious planting date, use March 30, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.

When is the first frost in 78159?

The average first fall freeze is November 22. In 1 year in 10 it comes by November 2.

What hardiness zone is 78159?

ZIP 78159 is in USDA zone 9a (20 to 25°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.

What is the soil temperature in 78159 right now?

This page shows the latest 2-inch and 4-inch soil temperature from the nearest public soil station (USDA SCAN, NOAA USCRN or TexMesonet), or a labeled estimate when no station is close, against the 50–55°F spring pre-emergent band.

Nearby ZIP codes

77994 78677 78140 Nixon 78614 78116 78111 78143 78164 Yorktown

Other ZIP codes in Gonzales County

78122 78140 78614 78629 78632 78658 78677 78959 All Gonzales County frost dates · Texas frost dates