Fall in zone 9bPhoto: George Chernilevsky, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons
Frost dates for ZIP 95357 (Modesto, CA)
Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Modesto City Co AP, CA (5 miles away).
- Average last spring frostJan 3150% chance of a 32°F freeze after this date
- Average first fall frostDec 550% chance of a 32°F freeze by this date
- Growing season (frost-free)312 daysmedian, 32°F threshold
- USDA hardiness zone9b25 to 30°F avg. coldest night
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This week in your yard
As of Oct 18, 2026, from your frost dates, zone and soil temperature. Lawn timing · Vegetables · Pruning · Plants
Soil temperature now
2-inch depth
67°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 67°F, as of Oct 18, 2:00 AM CDT
Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Merced 23 WSW (30 mi), Yosemite Village 12 W (59 mi).
4-inch depth
67°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 67°F, as of Oct 18, 2:00 AM CDT
Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Merced 23 WSW (30 mi), Yosemite Village 12 W (59 mi).
Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.
7-day forecast and frost risk
The latest National Weather Service 7-day forecast and any Frost Advisory or Freeze Warning for 95357 load here. You can also open the NWS forecast for this ZIP.
Pre-emergent
Soil is 67°F at 4 inches (estimated soil temperature, not a station reading). Fall pre-emergent (annual bluegrass, winter weeds): window open as soil cools through the 70s and 60s.
Fertilizer window
Lawn region: California coastal and valleys. Timing only; always follow the product label.
- Bermudagrass (warm-season): Spring: Several weeks after the lawn is fully green (April–May) (about Mar 18 here, using green-up about 3–4 weeks after your average last frost); Summer: Every 4–6 weeks through mid-August (heaviest feeder of the group); Late: Light, low-nitrogen/high-potassium feeding about 4 weeks before first frost, or skip. Avoid: Heavy late-fall nitrogen (linked to spring dead spot).
- Tall fescue (cool-season): Early fall: September (main feeding); Late fall: November, while still green; Late winter: Optional light feeding February–March. Avoid: Feeding after mid-spring and through summer in the transition zone (stress and brown patch).
Plant now
- Lettuce: fall sowing Sep 26–Oct 24
- Lettuce: fall transplant Oct 10–31
- Spinach: fall sowing Oct 10–31
- Bok choy / Asian greens: fall sowing Oct 10–24
- Arugula: fall sowing Oct 10–Nov 7
- Mustard greens: fall sowing Oct 10–24
- Cilantro: fall sowing Oct 10–24
- Dill: fall sowing Oct 10–24
- Strawberry (plants): fall transplant Sep 26–Oct 24
Coming up in the next 3 weeks
- Brussels sprouts: start seeds indoors Nov 8–22
- Radish: fall sowing Oct 24–Nov 7
- Onion (bulbing): start seeds indoors Nov 8–22
- Leek: start seeds indoors Nov 8–22
- Garlic: fall sowing Oct 24–Nov 21
- Shallot: fall sowing Oct 24–Nov 21
- Celery: start seeds indoors Nov 8–22
Prune now
No frost-timed pruning windows are open this week.
Your average first frost is Dec 5: skip heavy pruning in the 6–8 weeks before it, because new growth may not harden off in time.
Spring-flowering shrubs are pruned right after their flowers fade, not by date. See the pruning guide.
Last spring frost odds
| Chance of a 32°F freeze after this date | Date |
|---|---|
| 90% (early: most years still freeze after this) | Dec 31 (prior Dec) |
| 50% (the "average" last frost) | Jan 31 |
| 10% (cautious: only 1 year in 10 freezes later) | Feb 25 |
Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.
First fall frost odds
| Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this date | Date |
|---|---|
| 10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon) | Nov 20 |
| 50% (the "average" first frost) | Dec 5 |
| 90% (late: most years have frozen by now) | Jan 6 (next year) |
Light frost, freeze and hard freeze
| Threshold | Last spring (50%) | First fall (50%) |
|---|---|---|
| 36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights) | Mar 1 | Nov 22 |
| 32°F (freeze) | Jan 31 | Dec 5 |
| 28°F (hard freeze) | Jan 8 | Dec 21 |
n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).
Vegetable planting calendar for 95357
Dates count from your average last spring frost (Jan 31) and first fall frost (Dec 5). Half of years have a frost after the spring date, so give tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, squash) some slack.
| Crop | Start indoors | Spring planting | Fall planting |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tomato | Dec 6–20 | Feb 7–21 (transplant) | Aug 8–Sep 5 (transplant) |
| Pepper (sweet and hot) | Nov 22–Dec 6 | Feb 14–28 (transplant) | Aug 15–Sep 5 (transplant) |
| Eggplant | Nov 22–Dec 6 | Feb 14–28 (transplant) | Aug 15–Sep 5 (transplant) |
| Tomatillo | Dec 6–20 | Feb 7–21 (transplant) | – |
| Lettuce | Dec 6–20 | Jan 10–31 (transplant) Jan 3–Feb 14 (sow outdoors) | Oct 10–31 (transplant) Sep 26–Oct 24 (sowing) |
| Spinach | – | Dec 20–Jan 10 (sow outdoors) | Oct 10–31 (sowing) |
| Kale | Dec 6–20 | Jan 3–17 (transplant) Jan 3–17 (sow outdoors) | Sep 12–Oct 10 (transplant) Aug 29–Sep 26 (sowing) |
| Collards | Dec 6–20 | Jan 3–31 (transplant) Jan 3–31 (sow outdoors) | Sep 12–Oct 10 (transplant) Aug 29–Sep 26 (sowing) |
| Broccoli | Nov 22–Dec 6 | Jan 3–17 (transplant) | Aug 29–Sep 26 (transplant) |
| Cabbage | Nov 22–Dec 6 | Jan 3–17 (transplant) | Aug 29–Sep 26 (transplant) |
| Cauliflower | Nov 22–Dec 6 | Jan 17–31 (transplant) | Aug 29–Sep 26 (transplant) |
| Brussels sprouts | Nov 8–22 | Jan 3–17 (transplant) | Aug 15–Sep 5 (transplant) |
| Kohlrabi | Dec 6–20 | Jan 3–17 (transplant) Jan 3–17 (sow outdoors) | Sep 26–Oct 10 (sowing) |
| Bok choy / Asian greens | – | Jan 3–17 (sow outdoors) | Oct 10–24 (sowing) |
| Arugula | – | Jan 3–31 (sow outdoors) | Oct 10–Nov 7 (sowing) |
| Mustard greens | – | Jan 3–24 (sow outdoors) | Oct 10–24 (sowing) |
| Swiss chard | Dec 20–Jan 3 | Jan 17–Feb 7 (transplant) Jan 17–Feb 14 (sow outdoors) | Sep 26–Oct 10 (sowing) |
| Beet | – | Jan 3–31 (sow outdoors) | Sep 26–Oct 10 (sowing) |
| Carrot | – | Jan 10–Feb 7 (sow outdoors) | Sep 12–26 (sowing) |
| Radish | – | Dec 27–Feb 7 (sow outdoors) | Oct 24–Nov 7 (sowing) |
| Turnip | – | Jan 3–24 (sow outdoors) | Sep 26–Oct 10 (sowing) |
| Parsnip | – | Jan 10–31 (sow outdoors) | – |
| Pea (garden, snap, snow) | – | Dec 6–Jan 3 (sow outdoors) | Sep 12–26 (sowing) |
| Onion (bulbing) | Nov 8–22 | Dec 20–Jan 3 (transplant) | – |
| Green onion / scallion | – | Dec 20–Jan 17 (sow outdoors) | Sep 26–Oct 10 (sowing) |
| Leek | Nov 8–22 | Jan 3–17 (transplant) | – |
| Garlic | – | – | Oct 24–Nov 21 (sowing) |
| Shallot | – | Dec 20–Jan 3 (transplant) | Oct 24–Nov 21 (sowing) |
| Potato | – | Jan 3–17 (transplant) | Aug 15–29 (transplant) |
| Sweet potato | – | Feb 21–Mar 7 (transplant) | – |
| Sweet corn | – | Feb 7–21 (sow outdoors) | – |
| Bean, bush (snap) | – | Feb 7–21 (sow outdoors) | Sep 12–26 (sowing) |
| Bean, pole | – | Feb 7–21 (sow outdoors) | – |
| Lima bean | – | Feb 14–28 (sow outdoors) | – |
| Southern pea (cowpea, black-eyed pea) | – | Feb 21–Mar 14 (sow outdoors) | – |
| Cucumber | Jan 3–10 | Feb 7–21 (transplant) Feb 7–21 (sow outdoors) | Sep 12–26 (sowing) |
| Summer squash / zucchini | Jan 3–10 | Feb 7–21 (transplant) Feb 7–21 (sow outdoors) | Sep 12–26 (sowing) |
| Winter squash | Jan 3–10 | Feb 7–21 (transplant) Feb 7–21 (sow outdoors) | – |
| Pumpkin | – | Feb 7–21 (sow outdoors) | – |
| Watermelon | Jan 3–10 | Feb 14–28 (transplant) Feb 14–28 (sow outdoors) | – |
| Cantaloupe / muskmelon | Jan 3–10 | Feb 14–28 (transplant) Feb 14–28 (sow outdoors) | – |
| Okra | Dec 20–Jan 3 | Feb 14–28 (transplant) Feb 14–28 (sow outdoors) | – |
| Celery | Nov 8–22 | Feb 7–14 (transplant) | – |
| Basil | Dec 20–Jan 3 | Feb 7–21 (transplant) Feb 7–21 (sow outdoors) | – |
| Cilantro | – | Jan 17–Feb 14 (sow outdoors) | Oct 10–24 (sowing) |
| Parsley | Nov 22–Dec 6 | Jan 17–31 (transplant) Jan 10–31 (sow outdoors) | – |
| Dill | – | Jan 31–Feb 14 (sow outdoors) | Oct 10–24 (sowing) |
| Sunflower | – | Jan 31–Feb 14 (sow outdoors) | – |
| Asparagus (crowns) | – | Jan 3–17 (transplant) | – |
| Rhubarb (crowns) | – | Jan 3–17 (transplant) | – |
| Strawberry (plants) | – | Jan 3–17 (transplant) | Sep 26–Oct 24 (transplant) |
Typical ranges from university extension planting calendars, adjusted to your frost dates. Probabilities, not guarantees. Fall windows that would overlap spring planting are left out, as are fall crops of frost-tender plants where the frost-free season is under 210 days.
Where these numbers come from
Station: Modesto City Co AP, CA (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USW00023258), elevation 73 ft, 4.8 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: R (representative, 10+ years).
Nearby stations
| Station | Distance | Last frost (50%) | First frost (50%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turlock #2, CA | 12 mi | Jan 6 | Dec 20 |
| Stockton Metro AP, CA | 24 mi | Feb 6 | Dec 1 |
| Tracy Carbona, CA | 25 mi | Feb 25 | Nov 26 |
The average last-frost dates of these stations span 50 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.
Frost questions for 95357
When is the last frost in 95357?
The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 95357 is January 31. For a more cautious planting date, use February 25, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.
When is the first frost in 95357?
The average first fall freeze is December 5. In 1 year in 10 it comes by November 20.
What hardiness zone is 95357?
ZIP 95357 is in USDA zone 9b (25 to 30°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.
What is the soil temperature in 95357 right now?
This page shows the latest 2-inch and 4-inch soil temperature from the nearest public soil station (USDA SCAN, NOAA USCRN or TexMesonet), or a labeled estimate when no station is close, against the 50–55°F spring pre-emergent band.
Nearby ZIP codes
95319 Empire 95355 Modesto 95354 Modesto 95367 Riverbank 95326 Hughson 95350 Modesto 95351 Modesto 95328 Keyes
Other ZIP codes in Stanislaus County
95230 95307 95313 95316 95319 95323 95326 95328 95350 95351 95354 95355 95356 95358 95360 95361 95363 95367 95368 95380 95382 95385 95386 95387 All Stanislaus County frost dates · California frost dates
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- Freeze alerts
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Free. One weekly email plus alerts when your ZIP has a frost or a soil-temperature change worth acting on. After you submit, Kit (our email provider) sends a confirmation email: check your email and click the link to confirm. You aren't subscribed until you do. We collect only your email address and ZIP, sent to Kit to deliver The Dial. Unsubscribe anytime.