YardThisWeek

Frost dates for ZIP 78535 (Combes, TX)

Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Harlingen, TX (5 miles away).

Freezes are uncommon here

NOAA's normals for this station show a 32°F night in about 31% of years (about 1 freezing night(s) a year on average). The dates below describe freeze timing for the station's record; in many years there may be no 32°F freeze at all.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLight blue: spring freeze risk (90% to 10%). Tan: fall freeze risk (10% to 90%). Dark lines: 50% dates.

Last spring frost odds

Chance of a 32°F freeze after this dateDate
90% (early: most years still freeze after this)Dec 15 (prior Dec)
50% (the "average" last frost)Jan 9
10% (safe-side: only 1 year in 10 freezes later)Feb 4

Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.

First fall frost odds

Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this dateDate
10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon)Dec 9
50% (the "average" first frost)Jan 3 (next year)
90% (late: most years have frozen by now)Jan 29 (next year)

Light frost, freeze and hard freeze

ThresholdLast spring (50%)First fall (50%)
36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights)Jan 21Dec 26
32°F (freeze)Jan 9Jan 3 (next year)
28°F (hard freeze)n/an/a

n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).

This week in Combes

Soil temperature now

2-inch depth

66°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 70°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Measured at TexMesonet (TWDB) station Texas AgriScience, 12 mi away. Daily averages: Thu 83°, Fri 76°.

4-inch depth

70°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 73°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Measured at TexMesonet (TWDB) station Texas AgriScience, 12 mi away. Daily averages: Thu 84°, Fri 78°.

Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.

7-day forecast and frost risk

No frost in the 7-day forecast.

PeriodHighLowForecast
Tonight56°Partly Cloudy
Sunday78°63°Partly Sunny
Monday82°67°Chance Rain Showers
Tuesday86°69°Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers
Wednesday86°67°Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Thursday87°66°Sunny
Friday88°69°Sunny

National Weather Service forecast, issued Oct 17, 8:28 PM CDT. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights. Full NWS forecast.

Where these numbers come from

Station: Harlingen, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USC00413943), elevation 38 ft, 4.8 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: S (standard, 24+ years).

Nearby stations

StationDistanceLast frost (50%)First frost (50%)
Harlingen Rio Grande AP, TX5 miJan 8Dec 29
Santa Rosa 3 WNW, TX9 miJan 10Dec 27
Raymondville, TX15 miJan 21Dec 26

The average last-frost dates of these stations span 13 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.

Questions

When is the last frost in 78535?

The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 78535 is January 9. For a safer planting date, use February 4, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.

When is the first frost in 78535?

The average first fall freeze is January 3 (next year). In 1 year in 10 it comes by December 9.

What hardiness zone is 78535?

ZIP 78535 is in USDA zone 10a (30 to 35°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.

Other ZIP codes in Cameron County

78520 78521 78526 78550 78552 78559 78566 78567 78575 78578 78583 78586 78592 78593 78597 All Cameron County ZIPs