YardThisWeek

Frost dates for ZIP 78550 (Harlingen, TX)

Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Harlingen Rio Grande AP, TX (2 miles away).

Freezes are uncommon here

NOAA's normals for this station show a 32°F night in about 61% of years (about 2 freezing night(s) a year on average). The dates below describe freeze timing for the station's record; in many years there may be no 32°F freeze at all.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLight blue: spring freeze risk (90% to 10%). Tan: fall freeze risk (10% to 90%). Dark lines: 50% dates.

Last spring frost odds

Chance of a 32°F freeze after this dateDate
90% (early: most years still freeze after this)Dec 12 (prior Dec)
50% (the "average" last frost)Jan 8
10% (safe-side: only 1 year in 10 freezes later)Feb 17

Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.

First fall frost odds

Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this dateDate
10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon)Dec 2
50% (the "average" first frost)Dec 29
90% (late: most years have frozen by now)Feb 1 (next year)

Light frost, freeze and hard freeze

ThresholdLast spring (50%)First fall (50%)
36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights)Jan 31Dec 13
32°F (freeze)Jan 8Dec 29
28°F (hard freeze)Jan 2Jan 1 (next year)

n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).

This week in Harlingen

Soil temperature now

2-inch depth

70°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 72°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Measured at TexMesonet (TWDB) station Russell Farms, 12 mi away. Daily averages: Thu 81°, Fri 78°.

4-inch depth

71°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 73°F, as of Oct 17, 7:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Measured at TexMesonet (TWDB) station Russell Farms, 12 mi away. Daily averages: Thu 82°, Fri 78°.

Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.

7-day forecast and frost risk

No frost in the 7-day forecast.

PeriodHighLowForecast
Tonight56°Mostly Clear
Sunday78°63°Mostly Sunny
Monday82°67°Chance Rain Showers
Tuesday86°69°Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers
Wednesday86°68°Slight Chance Rain Showers then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Thursday86°66°Sunny
Friday88°69°Sunny

National Weather Service forecast, issued Oct 17, 8:28 PM CDT. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights. Full NWS forecast.

Where these numbers come from

Station: Harlingen Rio Grande AP, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USW00012904), elevation 34 ft, 2.0 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: R (representative, 10+ years).

Nearby stations

StationDistanceLast frost (50%)First frost (50%)
Harlingen, TX4 miJan 9Jan 3 (next year)
Santa Rosa 3 WNW, TX13 miJan 10Dec 27
Raymondville, TX16 miJan 21Dec 26

The average last-frost dates of these stations span 13 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.

Questions

When is the last frost in 78550?

The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 78550 is January 8. For a safer planting date, use February 17, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.

When is the first frost in 78550?

The average first fall freeze is December 29. In 1 year in 10 it comes by December 2.

What hardiness zone is 78550?

ZIP 78550 is in USDA zone 10a (30 to 35°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.

Other ZIP codes in Cameron County

78520 78521 78526 78535 78552 78559 78566 78567 78575 78578 78583 78586 78592 78593 78597 All Cameron County ZIPs