YardThisWeek

Frost dates for ZIP 78559 (La Feria, TX)

Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Santa Rosa 3 WNW, TX (9 miles away).

Freezes are uncommon here

NOAA's normals for this station show a 32°F night in about 63% of years (about 2 freezing night(s) a year on average). The dates below describe freeze timing for the station's record; in many years there may be no 32°F freeze at all.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLight blue: spring freeze risk (90% to 10%). Tan: fall freeze risk (10% to 90%). Dark lines: 50% dates.

Last spring frost odds

Chance of a 32°F freeze after this dateDate
90% (early: most years still freeze after this)Dec 13 (prior Dec)
50% (the "average" last frost)Jan 10
10% (safe-side: only 1 year in 10 freezes later)Feb 24

Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.

First fall frost odds

Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this dateDate
10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon)Dec 3
50% (the "average" first frost)Dec 27
90% (late: most years have frozen by now)Feb 1 (next year)

Light frost, freeze and hard freeze

ThresholdLast spring (50%)First fall (50%)
36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights)Feb 3Dec 12
32°F (freeze)Jan 10Dec 27
28°F (hard freeze)Jan 1Dec 29

n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).

This week in La Feria

Soil temperature now

2-inch depth

77°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 77°F, as of Oct 17, 8:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Measured at USDA NRCS SCAN station Weslaco, 8 mi away. Daily averages: Thu 85°, Fri 81°.

4-inch depth

79°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 79°F, as of Oct 17, 8:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Measured at USDA NRCS SCAN station Weslaco, 8 mi away. Daily averages: Thu 85°, Fri 83°.

Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.

7-day forecast and frost risk

No frost in the 7-day forecast.

PeriodHighLowForecast
Tonight56°Mostly Clear
Sunday79°64°Mostly Sunny
Monday83°67°Partly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers
Tuesday87°70°Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers
Wednesday88°68°Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Thursday88°66°Sunny
Friday90°69°Sunny

National Weather Service forecast, issued Oct 17, 8:28 PM CDT. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights. Full NWS forecast.

Where these numbers come from

Station: Santa Rosa 3 WNW, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USC00418059), elevation 50 ft, 8.8 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: R (representative, 10+ years).

Nearby stations

StationDistanceLast frost (50%)First frost (50%)
Weslaco, TX9 miJan 8Dec 31
Harlingen, TX10 miJan 9Jan 3 (next year)
Harlingen Rio Grande AP, TX12 miJan 8Dec 29

The average last-frost dates of these stations span 2 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.

Questions

When is the last frost in 78559?

The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 78559 is January 10. For a safer planting date, use February 24, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.

When is the first frost in 78559?

The average first fall freeze is December 27. In 1 year in 10 it comes by December 3.

What hardiness zone is 78559?

ZIP 78559 is in USDA zone 10a (30 to 35°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.

Other ZIP codes in Cameron County

78520 78521 78526 78535 78550 78552 78566 78567 78575 78578 78583 78586 78592 78593 78597 All Cameron County ZIPs