YardThisWeek

Frost dates for ZIP 78597 (South Padre Island, TX)

Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Port Isabel Cameron AP, TX (9 miles away).

Freezes are uncommon here

NOAA's normals for this station show a 32°F night in about 35% of years (about 1 freezing night(s) a year on average). The dates below describe freeze timing for the station's record; in many years there may be no 32°F freeze at all.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLight blue: spring freeze risk (90% to 10%). Tan: fall freeze risk (10% to 90%). Dark lines: 50% dates.

Last spring frost odds

Chance of a 32°F freeze after this dateDate
90% (early: most years still freeze after this)Dec 16 (prior Dec)
50% (the "average" last frost)Jan 8
10% (safe-side: only 1 year in 10 freezes later)Feb 7

Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.

First fall frost odds

Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this dateDate
10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon)Dec 10
50% (the "average" first frost)Jan 4 (next year)
90% (late: most years have frozen by now)Feb 4 (next year)

Light frost, freeze and hard freeze

ThresholdLast spring (50%)First fall (50%)
36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights)Jan 22Dec 29
32°F (freeze)Jan 8Jan 4 (next year)
28°F (hard freeze)n/an/a

n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).

This week in South Padre Island

Soil temperature now

2-inch depth

70°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 73°F, as of Oct 17, 8:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Russell Farms (22 mi), Texas AgriScience (39 mi), Weslaco (43 mi).

4-inch depth

72°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 74°F, as of Oct 17, 8:00 PM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Russell Farms (22 mi), Texas AgriScience (39 mi), Weslaco (43 mi).

Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.

7-day forecast and frost risk

No frost in the 7-day forecast.

PeriodHighLowForecast
Tonight62°Partly Cloudy
Sunday76°72°Chance Rain Showers
Monday79°76°Chance Rain Showers
Tuesday82°77°Mostly Sunny then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Wednesday82°76°Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Thursday82°75°Sunny
Friday82°77°Sunny

National Weather Service forecast, issued Oct 17, 8:28 PM CDT. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights. Full NWS forecast.

Where these numbers come from

Station: Port Isabel Cameron AP, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USW00012957), elevation 19 ft, 8.6 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: R (representative, 10+ years).

Nearby stations

StationDistanceLast frost (50%)First frost (50%)
Port Isabel, TX13 miJan 3Jan 1 (next year)
Port Mansfield, TX22 miJan 12Jan 1 (next year)
Harlingen Rio Grande AP, TX24 miJan 8Dec 29

The average last-frost dates of these stations span 9 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.

Questions

When is the last frost in 78597?

The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 78597 is January 8. For a safer planting date, use February 7, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.

When is the first frost in 78597?

The average first fall freeze is January 4 (next year). In 1 year in 10 it comes by December 10.

What hardiness zone is 78597?

ZIP 78597 is in USDA zone 10b (35 to 40°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.

Other ZIP codes in Cameron County

78520 78521 78526 78535 78550 78552 78559 78566 78567 78575 78578 78583 78586 78592 78593 All Cameron County ZIPs